Ralph's Tropical Weather-RTW

Monday, November 28, 2016

Gatlinburg TN Fire

Gatlinburg is being ravaged by fire. Strong system approaching from the west, lets hope that it is enough rain to douse the fire. The big problem with this system are 60-70 mph winds that will be blowing through the brush fire and possibly fanning the flames. Not a good scenario so lets hope the rains come down hard and steady...RTW

Update 1040 PM EST Radar animation at bottom of this blog shows the fire smoke streaming north and unfortunate not much precipitation moving through the area.

Downtown Gatlinburg

Tropical Outlook

Other than a Caribbean short wave mid-upper level trough approaching the Lesser Antilles the tropics remains quiet.

This tough is producing gusty winds and heavy rains in the form of a squall line, so mariners beware.

NATL. WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OKLAHOMA

‏@NWSNorman

338am:thunderstorms will continue across far Srn OK through the early morning hours. Severe storm chances appear to be decreasing. #okwx

AccuWeather Forecast

‏@breakingweather

A surge of warmth will spread across the eastern U.S. to close out November: http://ow.ly/Vovx306zMk6

South Florida Radar Review

On Easterly shore flow showers moving inland this morning...RTW

RIP CURRENT ADVISORY NATL. WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI

Radar valid at 417 am EST, Nov 28th 2016

844
WHUS42 KMFL 280915
CFWMFL

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
415 AM EST MON NOV 28 2016

FLZ168-172-173-282100-
/O.NEW.KMFL.RP.S.0037.161128T1000Z-161129T1200Z/
COASTAL PALM BEACH-COASTAL BROWARD-COASTAL MIAMI-DADE-
415 AM EST MON NOV 28 2016

...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIAMI HAS ISSUED A HIGH RIP
CURRENT RISK, WHICH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.

* TIMING...THROUGH AT LEAST TUESDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...LIFE THREATENING RIP CURRENTS ARE PROBABLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS.

RIP CURRENTS ARE POWERFUL CHANNELS OF WATER FLOWING QUICKLY AWAY
FROM SHORE...WHICH OCCUR MOST OFTEN AT LOW SPOTS OR BREAKS IN THE
SANDBAR AND IN THE VICINITY OF STRUCTURES SUCH AS GROINS...
JETTIES AND PIERS. HEED THE ADVICE OF LIFEGUARDS...BEACH PATROL
FLAGS AND SIGNS.

IF YOU BECOME CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT...YELL FOR HELP. REMAIN
CALM...DO NOT EXHAUST YOURSELF AND STAY AFLOAT WHILE WAITING FOR
HELP. IF YOU HAVE TO SWIM OUT OF A RIP CURRENT...SWIM PARALLEL TO
SHORE AND BACK TOWARD THE BEACH WHEN POSSIBLE. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO
SWIM DIRECTLY AGAINST A RIP CURRENT AS YOU WILL TIRE QUICKLY.

SWIM NEAR A LIFEGUARD. IF CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT REMAIN CALM.
DON'T FIGHT THE CURRENT. SWIM IN A DIRECTION FOLLOWING THE
SHORELINE. IF UNABLE TO ESCAPE, FACE THE SHORE AND CALL OR WAVE
FOR HELP. IF TIRED, FLOAT OR TREAD WATER UNTIL OUT OF THE RIP

Hail Forecast

‏@HailPoint

Today's Updated Thunderstorm Outlook. #Hail #PDR #Roofing #Insurance #Hailpoint

Severe Weather Outlook Little Rock

‏@NWSLittleRock

Update: Severe storms (with damaging winds) remain possible over the southeast half of Arkansas later today. Be prepared! #arwx

SEVERE STORMS

Strong storms are affecting areas around Gainesville at this time. Very heavy rain and 30-40mph likely. #wfaaweather

Sunday, November 27, 2016

Tropical Outlook

The tropics remain quiet at this time as we near the end of the 2016 Atlantic Hurricane Season...RTW

Wide view Altantic AVN Satellite still imagery

Surface Analysis map

Day-2 Severe Storm Outlook

Day-2 Categorical Outlook calls for an enhanced chance for severe weather for the Southeast. Louisiana should stay alert for the possibility of Severe storms on Monday and maybe Tuesday...RTW

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk.html