Ralph's Tropical Weather-RTW

Tuesday, March 14, 2017

UPDATED MIAMI AND VICINITY FORECAST

Tonight Mar 14, 2017

Mostly clear: Lows around 55°F. West northwest wind to 11 MPH.

Wednesday Mar 15

Sunny during the day: Highs around 70°F. Northwest wind to 14 MPH.

Mostly clear during the night: Lows around 54°F. North northwest wind to 10 MPH.

Thursday Mar 16

Mostly sunny during the day: Highs around 70°F. North wind to 11 MPH.

Mostly clear during the night: Lows around 57°F. Northeast wind to 11 MPH.

Friday Mar 17

Partly cloudy during the day: Highs around 75°F. North northeast wind to 14 MPH.

Partly cloudy during the night: Lows around 63°F. East northeast wind to 12 MPH.

Saturday Mar 18

Partly cloudy during the day: Highs around 77°F. Northeast wind to 8 MPH.

Mostly clear during the night: Lows around 63°F. East southeast wind to 8 MPH.

Sunday Mar 19

Mostly sunny during the day: Highs around 81°F. Northwest wind to 13 MPH.

Mostly clear during the night: Lows around 63°F. North wind to 11 MPH, gusting to 16 MPH.

Monday Mar 20

Mostly sunny during the day: Highs around 79°F. North wind to 13 MPH.

Mostly cloudy during the night: Lows around 66°F. East northeast wind to 12 MPH.

BLIZZARD CONDITIONS AND FLOODING BEING REPORTED

LATEST SNOW MAP ANIMATION AND REPORTS OF BLIZZARD CONDITIONS AND FLOODING.

MORE TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN REPORTED

HERE ARE THE LATEST REPORTS OF TREE AND POWER LINES DOWN ALONG DUE TO WINTER STORM STELLA.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CONFIRMS TORNADO TOUCH DOWN IN BROWARD THIS MORNING

‏Verified account @wsvn

National Weather Service confirms EF-1 tornado touched down in Broward early this morning http://wsvn.com/news/local/officials-possible-tornado-touches-down-in-plantation/ …

‏Verified account @VivianGonzalez7

The tornado's end location. @wsvn

REPORTS OF LARGE TREE AND POWER LINES ON MAIN STREET

AMATEUR RADIO OPERATOR REPORT LARGE TREE DOWN ON MAIN STREET IN PLYMOUTH MA.

TREE DOWN ON HOUSE OCEAN NJ AT HARDINE RD.

Emergency Manager reports tree fell on house roof along Hardine Rd. Ocean NJ as strong 60 mph winds blew through this area.

REPORTS OF WIRE AND TREE LIMBS DOWN IN THE BURLINTON NJ AREA

Winter storm causing havoc up the northeast coast with tropical storm force winds up to 60 mph and probably higher off shore. Rains over the Atlantic are turning into sleet and snow as the rains rap around the counter clockwise rotation of the low and moves on inland on the west quadrant of the low. N.W.S. Employees in the Burlington NJ and Law Enforcement are reporting tree limbs down and also power lines in this area. Stay indoors and hunker down!

EVEN THE MOST SEASONED MET'S CAN MAKE MISTAKES

Before going to bed last night around 1025 PM EST I reviewed radar and noticed the line of rain and embedded thunderstorms headed southeast for South Florida. I shared the radar loop on Facebook and at added this statement, "Rain and maybe strong storms overnight South Florida, and you can't rule out an isolated tornado. Good night!"

I did not want to leave without posting my last report of the approaching line of showers and embedded storms, without warning my FB Friends that we could not rule out an isolated tornado over night.

Well Around 11:20 PM while watching TV in bed one of the Local Meteorologist, and I'm not going to mention who or what channel it was on, because I am not here to discredit any one just as an observation that even the most seasoned Meteorologist can goof up on their forecast even with all the tools and technology they have available.

This Met said that this line would be weak not severe and there would not be winds of 45-50 mph. Well as I looked at the National Weather Service Alerts I get via email this morning, I noticed advisories for Significant Weather and tornado warning in Broward. Thank GOD there were no injuries with severe storm possibly a rain rapped tornado in broward that NWS MIAMI is investigating this morning. It is always important to keep your NOAA weather radio on Alert just in case the weather changes for the worst while you are asleep. Be storm ready! Here are the advisories I received over night.

SPSMFL from 3/14/2017 12:20 AM to 1:00 AM EDT for Broward County, Mainland Monroe County, Miami-Dade County: Significant Weather Advisory for 45 to 55 mph winds for southeastern Collier Mainland Monroe western Miami-Dade and southwestern Broward Counties Until 100 AM EDT.

SPSMFL from 3/14/2017 12:28 AM to 1:15 AM EDT for Broward County: Significant Weather Advisory for 45 to 55 mph winds for northwestern Broward and southeastern Palm Beach Counties Until 115 AM EDT.

SPSMFL from 3/14/2017 1:01 AM to 1:45 AM EDT for Broward County, Miami-Dade County: Significant Weather Advisory for 45 to 55 mph winds for Miami-Dade and eastern Broward Counties Until 145 AM EDT.

SPSMFL from 3/14/2017 1:17 AM to 1:30 AM EDT for Broward County: Significant Weather Advisory for 45 to 55 mph winds for northeastern Broward and southeastern Palm Beach Counties Until 130 AM EDT.

New event. Tornado Warning from 3/14/2017 1:27 AM to 2:00 AM EDT for Broward County.

SPSMFL from 3/14/2017 1:43 AM to 2:15 AM EDT for Miami-Dade County: Significant Weather Advisory for 45 to 55 mph winds for central Miami-Dade and southeastern Broward Counties Until 215 AM EDT.

Here are Maps from Local TV stations this morning of line and tornado warning area .

Monday, March 13, 2017

STARTING TO SEE SOME STRONG STORMS OUT OVER THE GULF

Starting to see some strong cells out over the Gulf waters with some rotation makers. We could see some of these cells turn severe over land if they hold together Central West coast just beware of the possibilities of strong to severe storms coming on shore this evening...RTW

UPDATED MIAMI AND VICINITY FORECAST

Today March 13, 2017

Partly cloudy with scattered showers today: Highs around 82°F. Southeast wind to 16 MPH, gusting to 21 MPH. Chance of rain 30 percent.

Mostly cloudy with scattered showers during the night: Lows around 70°F. South wind 8 to 13 MPH. Chance of precipitation 40 percent.

Tuesday Mar 14

Partly cloudy with scattered showers during the day: Highs around 82°F. West southwest wind 10 to 15 MPH. Chance of rain 40 percent.

Mostly clear during the night: Lows around 59°F. West northwest wind to 13 MPH.

Wednesday Mar 15

Sunny during the day: Highs around 72°F. North northwest wind 10 to 16 MPH, gusting to 21 MPH.

Mostly clear during the night: Lows around 54°F. North wind 8 to 14 MPH.

Thursday Mar 16

Mostly Sunny during the day: Highs around 72°F. North wind to 14 MPH.

Partly cloudy during the night: Lows around 61°F. Northeast wind to 11 MPH.

Friday Mar 17

Partly cloudy during the day: Highs around 73°F. North northeast wind to 13 MPH.

Partly cloudy Night: Lows around 63°F. East northeast wind to 13 MPH.

Saturday Mar 18

Partly cloudy during the day: Highs around 75°F. Northeast wind to 13 MPH.

Mostly clear during the night: Lows around 63°F. East wind to 10 MPH.

Sunday Mar 19

Mostly Sunny during the day: Highs around 79°F. Northwest wind to 11 MPH.

FLUS42 KMFL 130807
HWOMFL

Hazardous Weather Outlook for South Florida
National Weather Service Miami FL
407 AM EDT Mon Mar 13 2017

AMZ610-630-650-651-670-671-FLZ063-066>075-168-172>174-GMZ656-657-676-
140000-
Lake Okeechobee-Biscayne Bay-
Coastal waters from Jupiter Inlet to Deerfield Beach FL out 20 NM-
Coastal waters from Deerfield Beach to Ocean Reef FL out 20 NM-
Waters from Jupiter Inlet to Deerfield Beach FL from 20 to 60 NM-
Waters from Deerfield Beach to Ocean Reef FL from 20 to 60 NM
excluding the territorial waters of Bahamas-Glades-Hendry-
Inland Palm Beach-Metro Palm Beach-Coastal Collier-Inland Collier-
Inland Broward-Metro Broward-Inland Miami-Dade-Metro Miami-Dade-
Mainland Monroe-Coastal Palm Beach-Coastal Broward-Coastal Miami-
Dade-Far South Miami-Dade-
Coastal waters from Chokoloskee to Bonita Beach FL out 20 NM-
Coastal waters from East Cape Sable to Chokoloskee FL out 20 NM-
Waters from Chokoloskee to Bonita Beach FL from 20 to 60 NM-
407 AM EDT Mon Mar 13 2017

...A few strong storms possible this afternoon...
...Marine conditions deteriorating middle of this week...
...Wind chills mid 30s to mid 40s interior/west coast early Thursday...

This hazardous weather outlook is for South Florida.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

Rip currents: There is a moderate risk of rip currents at the
Atlantic beaches.

Thunderstorms: Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are possible over
South Florida this afternoon with the best coverage north of
Alligator Alley. The primary impacts from the storms will be gusty
winds and lightning strikes.

Wind: The strong storms this afternoon will be capable of producing
wind gusts up to 50 mph especially over the northern interior and
west coast metro areas of South Florida.

Waterspouts: There is a slight chance of waterspouts over the
Atlantic waters this morning. All South Florida waters will then have
a slight chance of waterspouts this afternoon into tonight.

Visibility: Patchy dense fog is possible early this morning in 
interior and west coast metro areas of South Florida.


.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY


Marine conditions will deteriorate, particularly over the Atlantic 
waters, behind a strong cold front Tuesday into Wednesday.

The risk of rip currents may increase at Gulf Coast beaches Tuesday
and Wednesday, and along the east coast beaches of South Florida late
this week into early this weekend.

Wind chill temperatures in the mid 30s to mid 40s will be possible
Wednesday night and Thursday morning across interior and west coast
metro areas of South Florida.

No other hazardous weather is expected at this time.


.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Widespread spotter activation is not anticipated, however individual
spotters are encouraged to report high wind, hail and flooding to 
the National Weather Service forecast office in Miami.

For more information...visit the National Weather Service in 
Miami website at www.weather.gov/miami.

$$

BAXTER