Ralph's Tropical Weather-RTW

Thursday, June 1, 2017

BATTEN DOWN YOUR HATCHES!

UK Met Office releases their Atlantic seasonal forecast - calling for an active season with 10-16 named storms, 6-10 hurricanes.

TURKEY POINT NUCLEAR PLANT SIREN TEST JUNE 2 2017

‏Verified account @MiamiDadeEM

A regularly scheduled quarterly Turkey Point siren test will take place @MiamiDadeCounty on June 2nd @ 1pm for 20 minutes. @MiamiDadeFire

TROPICAL UPDATE JUNE 1 2017 0329 PM EDT

Tropical Beatriz forms from Tropical Depression 2-E off the Southern Mexican coast in the East Pacific.

We still see the Canadian model suggesting development and a track toward the east-northeast now and this may be over doing it a bit but this model suggest another low coming from the Yucatan Peninsula. We now have the EURO model as well which is a more reliable model and that model has a more northeasterly track. NHC calls for dissipation of this system over the mountainous terrain of Southern Mexico. However, if the low survives the tracks over land and moves into the BOC (Bay of Campeche) or southern Gulf of Mexico, we could see redevelopment of this system. So as for now we watch during the next few days and continue to monitor model runs...RTW

Be Hurricane Ready have your plan of action and your kit ready for this season!
http://ralphstropicalweather.myfreesites.net

EUROPEAN MODEL (ECMWF)

CANADIAN MODEL (CMC)

2017 ATLANTIC HURRICANE NAMES

Hurricane Names for 2017
Atlantic Tropical (and Subtropical) Storm Names for 2017
Arlene	Harvey	Ophelia
Bret	Irma	Philippe
Cindy	Jose	Rina
Don	Katia	Sean
Emily	Lee	Tammy
Franklin	Maria	Vince
Gert	Nate	Whitney

TODAY'S THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK

‏ @HailPoint

Today's Updated Thunderstorm Outlook. #Hail #PDR #Roofing #Insurance #Hailpoint

MONITORING TROPICAL DEPRESSION 2-E IN THE EASTERN PACIFIC

Although NHC says that this low will dissipate over the mountainous terrain of southern Mexico some models are insisting that the remnants of this system could redevelop in the western Gulf and track northeast. I will keep a close watch on it for you during the coming days...RTW

When you go to my site click on "Ralph's Storm Track Maps" button and you will find the latest forecast spaghetti models. http://ralphstropicalweather.myfreesites.net

WATCHING THIS SYSTEM THAT COULD REDEVELOP IN THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO

‏Verified account @breakingweather

Flooding and mudslides threaten southern Mexico as a tropical depression targets the region late week: http://ow.ly/RWcK30cd8yL

Wednesday, May 31, 2017

UPDATED...TROPIC WAVE WATCH

UPPER LEVEL SHEAR IS UNFAVORABLE IN THE GULF OF MEXICO AT THIS TIME DUE TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E IN THE EAST PACIFIC. THIS SYSTEM IS A FLASH FLOOD PROBLEM FOR SOUTHERN MEXICO AND WILL KEEP ANY DEVELOPMENT IN THE GULF OF MEXICO SLOW TO OCCUR IF OUT ALL. I WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR MODELS AND THE GULF OF MEXICO INTO NEXT WEEK...RTW http://ralphstropicalweather.myfreesites.net

WILL THIS SYSTEM DEVELOP OR NOT?

Not out of the question to see development in the Gulf at the beginning of the Hurricane season. I have been monitoring some of the models in this area since some show low pressure developing and tracking northeast from the southern Gulf. However models are flaky lately show false development in certain areas. I will watch closely thou since we will be in hurricane season during this forecast period...RTW

http://ralphstropicalweather.myfreesites.net

UPDATED MIAMI AND VICINITY FORECAST

Today May 31, 2017

Partly cloudy with isolated thunderstorms during the day: Highs around 90°F. Heat index around 97°F. East southeast wind 7 to 14 MPH. Chance of rain 20 percent.

Partly cloudy with scattered showers during the night: Lows around 79°F. East wind 5 to 11 MPH. Chance of rain 40 percent.

Thursday Jun 1

Partly cloudy with scattered showers during the day: Highs around 88°F. Heat index around 95°F. East southeast wind 5 to 13 MPH. Chance of rain 40 percent.

Partly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms during the night: Lows around 79°F. East wind to 10 MPH. Chance of rain 40 percent.

Friday Jun 2

Mostly cloudy with scattered showers during the day: Highs around 88°F. Heat index around 93°F. Southeast wind to 11 MPH. Chance of rain 50 percent.

Mostly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms during the night: Lows around 79°F. East southeast wind to 10 MPH. Chance of rain 50 percent.

Saturday Jun 3

Mostly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms during the day: Highs around 88°F. Heat index around 93°F. Southeast wind to 11 MPH. Chance of rain 40 percent.

Mostly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms during the night: Lows around 79°F. Southeast wind to 10 MPH. Chance of rain 40 percent.

Sunday Jun 4

Mostly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms during the day: Highs around 88°F. Heat index around 95°F. South southeast wind to 10 MPH. Chance of rain 40 percent.

Partly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms during the night: Lows around 79°F. South southeast wind to 8 MPH. Chance of rain 40 percent.

Monday Jun 5

Partly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms during the day: Highs around 90°F. Heat index around 95°F. South southeast wind to 10 MPH. Chance of rain 40 percent.

Mostly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms during the night: Lows around 81°F. Heat index around 90°F. Southeast wind to 10 MPH. Chance of rain 40 percent.

Tuesday Jun 6

Partly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms during the day: Highs around 90°F. Heat index around 97°F. South wind to 11 MPH, gusting to 22 MPH. Chance of precipitation 40 percent.

FORECAST MAPS AND LIVE RADAR IS COURTESY OF N.W.S. IN MIAMI FLORIDA