I will spend more time talking about the remnants of T.D. 4 north of the Leeward Islands since it is closer to land than the Atlantic system at this time.
An area of showers and storms associated with a trough of low pressure at the surface which is north of the Leeward Islands are the remnants of T.D. 4. This system has been interacting with a mid to upper level low near 27°N and 57°W. Models have been hinting at some development as it tracks toward the west-northwest. Pressure seems to be falling surrounding this system per some of the Buoys in the area. Regardless of development or not this system could bring showers and storms and squally conditions for the Bahamas and Florida in the coming days. I'm giving this system a 0% chance for development during the next 48hrs at this time.
RTW http://ralphstropicalweather.myfreesites.net
Monday, July 10, 2017
NEW UPDATE TO THIS 1147 AM EDT...TROPICAL UPDATE JULY 10, 2017 1043 AM EDT
1. There is a new future storm investigation in the Atlantic. A westward moving tropical wave located near 13°North Lat. 30°West Long. to 05°North Lat. 30°West Long. is now being monitored by NHC for development in the coming days. Low pressure may form along or east of the waves axis later today. NHC is giving this system a LOW 0% chance within 48hrs. and a LOW 20% chance within the next 5-days.
2. Update to this post 1145 AM EDT...some models are suggesting some development with this system. Whether it is weak development as some models suggest I don't want any surprises so I posted LOW 0% chance within 48hrs...RTW A Trough north of the Leeward Islands interacting with an mid to upper level low is still producing an area of showers and storms that has been nearly stationary. This system will slowly track west-northwest in the coming days.
3. Another wave near western Cuba is also interacting with a broad mid to upper low in the northwest Caribbean and this is enhance rain and storm over southern Florida and the Florida straits this morning.
Eslewhere tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 73hrs.
RTW http://ralphstropicalweather.myfreesites.net
Sunday, July 9, 2017
MIAMI AND VICINITY 7-DAY FORECAST JULY 9, 2017 0652 PM
Tonight Jul 9, 2017
Partly cloudy
with isolated thunderstorms: Lows around 81°F. Heat index around 93°F. East
wind to 7 MPH. Chance of rain 40
percent.
Monday Jul 10
Partly cloudy
with scattered showers during the day: Highs around 90°F. Heat index around 99°F-104°F. East southeast wind to
11 MPH. Chance of rain 50
percent.
Partly cloudy
with isolated thunderstorms during the night: Lows around 81°F. Heat index around 93°F. East southeast wind to 10 MPH.
Chance of precipitation 20 percent.
Tuesday Jul 11
Partly cloudy
with isolated thunderstorms during the day: Highs around 90°F. Heat index around 99°F-104°F. East southeast wind to
10 MPH. Chance of rain 20 percent.
Partly cloudy
with isolated thunderstorms during the night: Lows around 81°F. Heat index around 91°F. East wind to 10 MPH. Chance of
rain 20 percent.
Wednesday Jul 12
Partly cloudy
with scattered thunderstorms during the day: Highs around 90°F. Heat index
around 97°F. East northeast wind 7 to 13 MPH. Chance of rain 30 percent.
Partly cloudy
with scattered thunderstorms during the night: Lows around 81°F. Heat index
around 93°F. East northeast wind to 12 MPH. Chance of rain 40 percent.
Thursday Jul 13
Mostly cloudy
with scattered thunderstorms during the day: Highs around 88°F. Heat index around 99°F-104°F. Northeast wind to 11
MPH. Chance of rain 50
percent.
Partly cloudy
with scattered thunderstorms during the Night: Lows around 81°F. Heat index around 90°F. East wind to 10 MPH. Chance of
rain 40 percent.
Friday Jul 14
Partly cloudy
with scattered thunderstorms during the day: Highs around 90°F. Heat index around 97°-102°F. East southeast wind to 10
MPH. Chance of rain 30
percent.
Partly cloudy
with scattered thunderstorms during the night: Lows around 81°F. Heat index around 91°F. East southeast wind to 8 MPH.
Chance of rain 40
percent.
Saturday Jul 15
Partly cloudy
with scattered thunderstorms during the day: Highs around 90°F. Heat index around 97°F-102°F. Southeast wind to 8 MPH.
Chance of rain 40
percent.
Partly cloudy
with scattered thunderstorms during the night: Lows around 81°F. Heat index around 90°F. East southeast wind to 6 MPH.
Chance of rain 30
percent.
FORECAST MAPS AND LIVE RADAR COURTESY OF N.W.S. IN MIAMI FLORIDA
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK JULY 9, 2017 0609 PM
The tropics remain quiet will continue to monitor the Atlantic for development next week. The wave associated the remnants of tropical depression four that continues to interact with a mid to upper level low near 27° North Longitude and 57° West latitude will continue to track west-northwest toward the Bahamas and Southern Florida this week. If these showers and storms continue they will spread across the Bahamas Monday thru Wednesday and move across Florida and Thursday maybe Friday. Showers and thunderstorms and squally conditions can be expected as this system moves across the area.
RTW http://ralphstropicalweather.myfreesites.net
RTW http://ralphstropicalweather.myfreesites.net
Saturday, July 8, 2017
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK JULY 8, 2017 0859 PM EDT
Tropical wave associated with the remnants of TD Four that have been flaring up thunderstorms to the north of the waves access. This is most likely due to the interaction with a mid to upper level low near 30° North Longitude and 57° West Latitude. The thunderstorm associated with this wave will pass north of the northern Leeward Islands Sunday evening and there could be some squally conditions moving through the northern Islands if the showers and storms expand southward.
RTW http://ralphstropicalweather.myfreesites.net
RTW http://ralphstropicalweather.myfreesites.net
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK JULY 8, 2017 0259 PM EDT
Monitoring the coast of Africa for possible development next week. The remnants of TD FOUR remain disorganized as it tracks west to a west-northwest. This system could bring showers and storms along with squally conditions to the Northern Leeward Islands this evening as the wave passes to the north. The east Bahamas will see their share of showers, storms in squalls on Monday. http://ralphstropicalweather.myfreesites.net
UPDATED MIAMI AND VICINITY 7-DAY FORECAST
Today Jul 8, 2017
Partly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms during the day: Highs
around 90°F. Heat index around 99°F-104°F.
Southeast wind to 10 MPH. Chance of rain 40 percent.
Partly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms during the night:
Lows around 79°F. East southeast wind to 7 MPH. Chance of rain 40 percent.
Sunday Jul 9
Partly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms during the day: Highs
around 90°F. Heat index around 99°F-104°. East
southeast wind to 11 MPH. Chance of rain 30 percent.
Partly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms during the night:
Lows around 81°F. Heat index around 91°F. East
southeast wind to 10 MPH. Chance of rain 30 percent.
Monday Jul 10
Partly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms during the day: Highs
around 88°F. Heat index around 95°F. East southeast wind to 11 MPH. Chance of rain
40 percent.
Partly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms during the night:
Lows around 81°F. Heat index around 91°F. East
wind to 11 MPH. Chance of rain 40 percent.
Tuesday Jul 11
Partly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms during the day: Highs
around 90°F. Heat index around 95°F. East wind
to 11 MPH. Chance of rain 30 percent.
Partly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms during the night:
Lows around 81°F. Heat index around 90°F. East
wind to 11 MPH. Chance of rain 20 percent.
Wednesday Jul 12
Partly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms during the day: Highs
around 90°F. Heat index around 95°F. East
northeast wind 8 to 13 MPH. Chance of rain 40 percent.
Partly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms during the night:
Lows around 81°F. Heat index around 91°F. East
northeast wind to 12 MPH. Chance of rain 40 percent.
Thursday Jul 13
Partly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms during the day: Highs
around 88°F. Heat index around 93°F. East wind
to 13 MPH. Chance of rain 40 percent.
Partly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms during the night:
Lows around 81°F. Heat index around 90°F. East
wind to 12 MPH. Chance of rain 30 percent.
Friday Jul 14
Partly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms during the day: Highs
around 88°F. Heat index around 93°F. East
northeast wind to 10 MPH. Chance of rain 40 percent.
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