The tropics remain quiet for now. Showers and thunderstorms have been increasing across the Bahamas and the greater Antilles this afternoon. This is mainly due to several troughs tracking westward across the area. One of those trough is what was is left of T.D. 4 that is presently moving over the eastern Bahamas as it tracks westward. So an increase in showers and storms can be expected during the next few days. These storm cells are accompanied by gusty winds and frequent lightning so take cover when you hear thunder.
RTW http://ralphstropicalweather.myfreesites.net
Wednesday, July 12, 2017
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK JULY 12, 2017 1159 AM EDT
Four waves in the tropics and most are being suppressed by Sahara dust and dry air.
RTW http://ralphstropicalweather.myfreesites.net
RTW http://ralphstropicalweather.myfreesites.net
Tuesday, July 11, 2017
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK JULY 11, 2017 0403 PM EDT
Still monitoring the remnants of TD 4 and the wave in the Atlantic. Tropics remain quiet for now.
RTW http://ralphstropicalweather.myfreesites.net
RTW http://ralphstropicalweather.myfreesites.net
UPDATED MIAMI AND VICINITY 7-DAY FORECAST
Today Jul 11, 2017
Partly cloudy
with scattered thunderstorms during the day: Highs around 90°F. Heat index around 95°F. East northeast wind to 11 MPH.
Chance of rain 30 percent.
Partly cloudy
with isolated thunderstorms during the night: Lows around 81°F. Heat index around 91°F. East wind to 11 MPH. Chance of
rain 20 percent.
Wednesday Jul 12
Partly cloudy
with scattered thunderstorms during the day: Highs around 90°F. Heat index around 99°F. Northeast wind to 11 MPH.
Chance of rain 50
percent.
Mostly cloudy
with scattered thunderstorms during the night: Lows around 81°F. Heat index around 93°F. East northeast wind 5 to 11
MPH. Chance of rain 50
percent.
Thursday Jul 13
Mostly cloudy
with scattered thunderstorms during the day: Highs around 90°F. Heat index around 99°F-105°F. East wind 7 to 14 MPH.
Chance of rain 70
percent.
Mostly cloudy
with showers likely during the night: Lows around 81°F. Heat index around 93°F.
East wind to 13 MPH. Chance of rain 70
percent.
Friday Jul 14
Mostly cloudy
with scattered thunderstorms during the day: Highs around 88°F. Heat index around 97°F-103°F. Southeast wind to 13
MPH. Chance of rain 50
percent.
Partly cloudy
with scattered thunderstorms during the night: Lows around 81°F. Heat index around 91°F. East southeast wind to 10 MPH.
Chance of rain 50
percent.
Saturday Jul 15
Partly cloudy
with scattered thunderstorms during the day: Highs around 90°F. Heat index around 97°F-104°F. Southeast wind to 8 MPH,
gusting to 13 MPH. Chance of rain 50
percent.
Partly cloudy
with scattered thunderstorms during the night: Lows around 81°F. Heat index around 91°F. East southeast wind to 7 MPH.
Chance of rain 40
percent.
Sunday Jul 16
Partly cloudy
with scattered thunderstorms during the day: Highs around 90°F. Heat index around 97°F-104°F. Southeast wind to 9 MPH.
Chance of rain 30
percent.
Partly cloudy
with scattered thunderstorms during the night: Lows around 81°F. Heat index around 91°F. Southeast wind to 9 MPH.
Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
Monday Jul 17
Partly cloudy
with scattered thunderstorms during the day: Highs around 90°F. Heat index around 97°F-104°F. Southeast wind to 10
MPH. Chance of rain 50
percent.
.
FORECAST MAPS AND LIVE RADAR ARE COURTESY OF N.W.S. IN MIAMI FLORIDA
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK JULY 11, 2017 1157 AM EDT
What a difference and day makes. Yesterday we were talking of two possible systems and today there is nothing to talk about. This is going to be one of those years of forecast model confusion and systems that will be there one day and gone another.
The tropics remains quiet, there are no signs of tropical cyclone formation at this time.
RTW http://ralphstropicalweather.myfreesites.net
The tropics remains quiet, there are no signs of tropical cyclone formation at this time.
RTW http://ralphstropicalweather.myfreesites.net
Monday, July 10, 2017
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK JULY 0934 PM EDT
An area of showers and storms associated with a trough of low at the surface which is north of the Leeward Islands are the remnants of T.D. 4. This system has been interacting with a mid to upper level low near 27°N and 57°W. This upper low is presently affecting the thunderstorm activity that was more numerous earlier. Wind shear over the low has cause the clouds to warm. Pressures were falling earlier as this system was trying to make a come back but now pressures are rising again. System still has a nice circulation but once again its lacking thunderstorms at this time. Development if any would be slow to occur....RTW
As for the Atlantic wave not much going on there either. I will continue to monitor both system.
RTW http://ralphstropicalweather.myfreesites.net
As for the Atlantic wave not much going on there either. I will continue to monitor both system.
RTW http://ralphstropicalweather.myfreesites.net
INVEST 94L MODELS RESUMED
I JUST NOTICED THAT THEY HAVE RESUMED THE MODEL RUN FOR INVEST 94L REMNANTS OF T.D. 4.
RTW http://ralphstropicalweather.myfreesites.net
RTW http://ralphstropicalweather.myfreesites.net
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