Friday, November 10, 2017
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK 1006 AM EST NOV 10, 2017
Thursday, November 9, 2017
MORE ON THIS POSSIBLE COLD AIR FOR END OF NOVEMBER FROM OTHER SOURCE
WeatherOptics @weatheroptics
12z GFS not backing down on a cold and stormy end to November -- The pattern being portrayed would be ideal for some kind of big end of the month winter storm.. -EPO, -AO, W-Based -NAO, +PNA w/ a lobe of our PV breaking down into the eastern US. Good timeframe to watch.
GFS HINTING ON ANOTHER DIP IN THE JET STREAM IN THE COMING WEEKS
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK 1032 AM EST NOV 9, 2017
Wednesday, November 8, 2017
RINA UPDATE AND TROPICAL PAGE UPDATE 0500 PM EST NOV 8, 2017
...RINA EXPECTED TO BECOME POST-TROPICAL BY THURSDAY MORNING...
000 WTNT34 KNHC 082031 TCPAT4 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Rina Advisory Number 11 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL192017 500 PM AST Wed Nov 08 2017 ...RINA EXPECTED TO BECOME POST-TROPICAL BY THURSDAY MORNING... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...40.9N 48.6W ABOUT 460 MI...740 KM SSE OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 23 MPH...37 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.39 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Rina was located near latitude 40.9 North, longitude 48.6 West. Rina is moving toward the north near 23 mph (37 km/h). A turn toward the north-northeast is expected overnight, followed by a rapid northeastward motion on Thursday and an east-northeastward motion on Friday. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours, and Rina is expected to become a post-tropical cyclone by early Thursday morning. Rina is becoming a larger tropical cyclone. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km), mainly to the east of the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 995 mb (29.39 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Blake
RINA 1100 AM UPDATE AND TROPICAL MAP UPDATE NOV 8, 2017 1138 AM EDT
...RINA MOVING QUICKLY NORTHWARD...
000 WTNT34 KNHC 081442 TCPAT4 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Rina Advisory Number 10 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL192017 1100 AM AST Wed Nov 08 2017 ...RINA MOVING QUICKLY NORTHWARD... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...39.4N 48.7W ABOUT 550 MI...885 KM SSE OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 21 MPH...33 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Rina was located near latitude 39.4 North, longitude 48.7 West. Rina is moving toward the north near 21 mph (33 km/h). A turn toward the north-northeast is expected overnight, followed by a rapid northeastward motion on Thursday. Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast through tonight before weakening begins on Thursday. Rina is expected to become a post-tropical cyclone by early Thursday morning. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 160 miles (260 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 997 mb (29.44 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Blake
Monday, November 6, 2017
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19...NOT A THREAT TO LAND NOV 6, 2017 1130 AM EDT
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC......NO THREAT TO LAND...
000 WTNT34 KNHC 061432 TCPAT4 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Nineteen Advisory Number 2 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL192017 1100 AM AST Mon Nov 06 2017 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC... ...NO THREAT TO LAND... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...29.5N 50.4W ABOUT 875 MI...1405 KM E OF BERMUDA ABOUT 1460 MI...2350 KM WSW OF THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1013 MB...29.92 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Nineteen was located near latitude 29.5 North, longitude 50.4 West. The depression is moving toward the north-northeast near 3 mph (6 km/h). A significantly faster north to north-northeast motion is expected during the next couple of days. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Slow strengthening is expected during the next 48 hours, and the depression could become a tropical storm later today. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1013 mb (29.92 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
Saturday, November 4, 2017
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NOV 4 2017 0420 PM EDT
RTW
ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Sat Nov 4 2017 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: 1. An elongated low pressure area centered about 900 miles east- southeast of Bermuda continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. This low could acquire some tropical or subtropical characteristics as it moves to the north-northeast over the central Atlantic through this weekend into the middle of next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. Forecaster Blake
Friday, November 3, 2017
MIAMI AND VICINITY 7-DAY FORECAST
Tonight Nov 3, 2017
Partly cloudy with isolated showers. Lows around 71°F. North
wind to 10 MPH. Chance of precipitation 20 percent.
Saturday Nov 4
Day: Partly cloudy with scattered showers. Highs around
83°F. North northwest wind to 11 MPH. Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
Night: Partly cloudy with scattered showers. Lows around
72°F. North northeast wind to 6 MPH. Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
Sunday Nov 5
Day: Partly cloudy with scattered showers. Highs around
84°F. North northwest wind to 9 MPH. Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
Night: Partly cloudy with scattered showers. Lows around
72°F. East northeast wind to 9 MPH. Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
Monday Nov 6
Day: Partly cloudy with isolated showers. Highs around 83°F.
East northeast wind 5 to 10 MPH. Chance of precipitation 20 percent.
Night: Partly cloudy with isolated showers. Lows around
73°F. East northeast wind to 10 MPH. Chance of precipitation 20 percent.
Tuesday Nov 7
Day: Partly cloudy with isolated showers. Highs around 83°F.
East northeast wind 8 to 13 MPH. Chance of precipitation 20 percent.
Night: Mostly clear. Lows around 73°F. East northeast wind
to 12 MPH.
Wednesday Nov 8
Day: Mostly sunny. Highs around 83°F. Northeast wind to 10
MPH.
Night: Mostly clear. Lows around 72°F. East northeast wind
to 9 MPH.
Thursday Nov 9
Day: Partly cloudy with isolated showers. Highs around 82°F.
Northeast wind to 11 MPH.
Night: Partly cloudy with isolated showers. Lows around
77°F. East northeast wind 6 to 11 MPH. Chance of precipitation 20 percent.
FORECAST MAPS AND LIVE RADAR ARE COURTESY OF N.W.S. IN MIAMI, FL
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NOV 3 2017 1037 AM EDT
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