000 FGUS72 KMFL 101922 ESFMFL FLZ063-066>075-168-172>174-110730- Hydrologic Outlook National Weather Service Miami FL 322 PM EDT Thu May 10 2018 ...Heavy Rain Potential Increasing Across South Florida... An upper level low is forecast to develop over the eastern Gulf of Mexico this weekend, as a trough of low pressure moves northward from the Florida Straits into South Florida. These factors will cause tropical moisture to overspread the region, with the potential for heavy showers and thunderstorms especially late Saturday through Sunday, and possibly continuing well into next week. Most areas will see between 2 and 4 inches of rain during this period, but locally higher amounts are possible. Despite ongoing drought conditions, several periods of heavy rain may lead to local flooding concerns late this weekend into next week. $$ Baxter/Scharfenberg
Thursday, May 10, 2018
POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAIN EVENT FOR A PORTION OF FLORIDA
EAST PACIFIC STORM INVESTIGATION 90E WEAKENS A BIT
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 100245 TWOEP Special Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 745 PM PDT Wed May 9 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Shower activity associated with the broad low pressure area located about 1250 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula has become less organized since yesterday, and upper-level winds are becoming less favorable for development. While there is still a chance that a tropical depression could form tonight or Thursday before stronger upper-level winds become established over the system, the chances of tropical cyclone formation continue to diminish. Another Special Tropical Weather Outlook on this disturbance will be issued by 11 AM PDT on Thursday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Beven
Tuesday, May 8, 2018
DAYS 1-5 RAINFALL PROBABILITY FOR FLORIDA
PLEASE NOTE THAT THESE ARE FORECAST AND ARE SUBJECT TO CHANGE, SO CHECK BACK DAILY FOR UPDATES OR CLICK ON THIS LINK FOR THE LATEST RAINFALL PROBABILITIES http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/qpf2.shtml
RTW
RTW
COURTESY OF LEVI COWAN @TropicalTibits
Like I mentioned earlier this morning! (Read my post scroll down)
Look for a wet pattern to encroach on Florida next week. An upper trough currently over Mexico is expected to meander slowly into the Gulf of Mexico. This is a situation which can also lead to subtropical storm development, but all we can say for now is that things may turn wet.
Look for a wet pattern to encroach on Florida next week. An upper trough currently over Mexico is expected to meander slowly into the Gulf of Mexico. This is a situation which can also lead to subtropical storm development, but all we can say for now is that things may turn wet.
INTERESTING, THANKS PHILIP!
Philip KlotzbachVerified account @philklotzbach
2h2 hours ago
Location where all Atlantic Cat. 5 (>= 157 mph) #hurricanes on record first reached Cat. 5 intensity. Western Caribbean, Gulf of Mexico, near The Bahamas and near the Antilles primary areas where TCs first hit Cat. 5.
EAST PACIFIC STROM INVESTIGATION 90E
ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Special Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1030 AM PDT Tue May 8 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: 1. Satellite images indicate that a broad area of low pressure has developed in association with the region of disturbed weather located a little more than 1000 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. The system is gradually becoming better organized and environmental conditions appear to be favorable for some additional development. A tropical depression could form from this system later today or Wednesday before the disturbance moves slowly northwestward toward unfavorable upper-level winds later this week. The next Special Tropical Weather Outlook on this system will be issued by 11 AM PDT Wednesday, or earlier, if necessary. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. Forecaster Avila
RALPH'S TROPICAL WEATHER GRAPHICS BELOW
CURRENT TRACK
PREVIOUS TRACK MODEL
GFS ENSEMBLE
FLORIDA WEEKEND FORECAST IS LOOKING WET!
Looks like moisture from the tropics will set in for this weekend. Latest GFS shows plenty of moisture rising northward from the Caribbean (blue color). Could be associated with a weak upper level trough. Could this be a drought relief for parts of Florida?
RTW
RTW
TODAYS FORECAST FROM NWS IN MIAMI FLORIDA
NWS MiamiVerified account @NWSMiami
22m22 minutes ago
Isolated showers and thunderstorms possible in the interior and west this afternoon for South Florida. Temperatures will warm up into the 90s out west and mid 80s along the east coast metro areas. Chance of rain increases by the end of the week. #FLwx
EAST PACIFIC STORM INVESTIGATION 90E
ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Special Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1045 AM PDT Mon May 7 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: 1. A large area of disturbed weather has formed a little more than one thousand miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Environmental conditions are forecast to be marginally favorable for some development during the next day or two while the disturbance moves generally toward the west-northwest and northwest. After that time, upper-level winds are expected to become less conducive for tropical cyclone formation. The next Special Tropical Weather Outlook on this system will be issued by 11 AM PDT Tuesday, or earlier, if necessary. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. Forecaster Avila
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)