000 ACCA62 TJSJ 121729 TWOSPN Perspectivas sobre las Condiciones del Tiempo Tropical Emitido por El Centro Nacional de Huracanes Miami, FL Traducido por el Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia San Juan, PR 100 PM EST lunes 12 de noviembre de 2018 Para el Atlantico Norte...Mar Caribe y Golfo de Mexico: Una onda tropical localizada a alrededor de 200 millas al este de las Islas de Sotavento continua produciendo un area amplia de mal tiempo sobre la mayoria del Oceano Atlantico oeste tropical. Aunque se pronostica que las condiciones ambientales se tornen mas favorables para que se forme una depresion tropical durante los proximos dias, interaccion con tierra pudiera limitar la formacion de ciclon tropical. Se pronostica que el disturbio se mueva hacia el oeste a oeste noroeste durante los proximos dias, pasando cerca o al norte de las Islas de Sotavento, Puerto Rico, La Espanola, y el sureste de las Bahamas. Intereses en estas areas deben seguir de cerca el progreso de este sistema. * Probabilidad de formacion en 48 horas...mediana...50 por ciento * Probabilidad de formacion en 5 dias...alta...80 por ciento $$ Pronosticador Stewart
An Atlantic tropical wave extends its axis along 29W and south of 09N. Scattered to numerous moderate convection is noted along and in the vicinity of the wave, enhanced by the proximity of the ITCZ. An Atlantic tropical wave extends its axis along 41W south of 10N. Scattered moderate convection is present 120 nm on either side of the wave axis. This activity is enhanced by the proximity of the ITCZ. An Atlantic tropical wave extends its axis along 55W and south of 16N. Scattered moderate convection is noted north of 13N between 51W and 57W. A tropical wave extends its axis along Central America and the EPAC along 88W. No convection is observed with this wave at this time.
Storm Investigation
000
ABNT20 KNHC 111739 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 100 PM EST Sun Nov 11 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Showers activity has increased and become a little better organized today in association with a tropical wave located about 350 miles east-southeast of the Leeward Islands. Environmental conditions are forecast to gradually become more conducive for development by Tuesday, and a tropical or subtropical cyclone is expected to form by the middle of the week. The system will move westward to west-northwestward for the next few days, passing near or north of the Leeward Islands, Puerto Rico, Hispaniola, and the southeastern Bahamas. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. $$
000
ABNT20 KNHC 101729
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
100 PM EST Sat Nov 10 2018
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
A tropical wave located about 700 miles east of the Lesser Antilles
continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Significant development of this system is not expected during the
next couple of days due to strong upper-level winds. However, these
winds are forecast to lessen by Tuesday, and a tropical or
subtropical cyclone could form during the middle of next week while
the system moves near or north of Puerto Rico, Hispaniola and the
southeastern Bahamas.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.
$$
Forecaster Blake
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An Atlantic Ocean tropical wave is along 23W/25W from 11N
southward. This wave has been added to the 10/1200 UTC map
analysis based on long-loop satellite imagery and model guidance.
ITCZ-related precipitation is nearby.
An Atlantic Ocean tropical wave is along 36W/37W from 12N
southward. This wave has been re-positioned based on long-loop
satellite imagery and model guidance. ITCZ-related precipitation
is nearby.
An Atlantic Ocean tropical wave is along 48W/49W from 15N
southward. Widely scattered moderate to isolated strong
rainshowers are from 12N to 16N between 43W and 48W. Broken to
overcast multilayered clouds and possible rainshowers are from
14N to 17N between 34W and 41W.
A surface trough is along 56W/57W from 08N to 16N. Scattered
moderate to strong rainshowers are from 12N to 15N between 54W
and 58W. Isolated moderate to locally strong rainshowers are
elsewhere from 12N to 20N between 50W and 60W.
A Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 83W/84W from 20N
southward. The upper level trough, that passes across Hispaniola,
into the central Caribbean Sea, to the east central coast of
Nicaragua, is on top of the area of the tropical wave. Isolated
moderate to locally strong rainshowers are from 17N southward from
80W westward, to the coastal sections and interior sections of
Honduras and Nicaragua.
