REBEKAH WEAKENING AS IT TRACKS EASTWARD

SUB TROPICAL STORM REBEKAH UPDATE
OCT 31, 2019...0513 PM EDT
RALPH'S TROPICAL WEATHER- RTW

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER PUBLIC ADVISORY
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

334 
WTNT34 KNHC 312031
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
Subtropical Storm Rebekah Advisory Number   5
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL192019
500 PM AST Thu Oct 31 2019

...REBEKAH EXPECTED TO BECOME A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE OVERNIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...41.1N 33.5W
ABOUT 405 MI...655 KM NW OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 85 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB...29.24 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Subtropical Storm Rebekah
was located near latitude 41.1 North, longitude 33.5 West. The storm
is moving toward the east near 20 mph (31 km/h).  This general
motion is expected through tomorrow.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher
gusts. The storm should weaken and become a post-tropical cyclone by
this evening or early tomorrow.

Winds of 40 mph extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from the
center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 990 mb (29.24 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Rebekah is forecast to be a post-tropical cyclone when it moves near
the Azores overnight.  Please see products issued by the
Portuguese Institute for the Sea and Atmosphere (IPMA) for hazard
information in the Azores related to Rebekah, which can found at
https://www.ipma.pt/pt/index.html.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Blake 

STORM INVESTIGATION AFTERNOON UPDATE

STORM INVESTIGATIONS
OCT 31, 2019...0330 PM EDT
RALPH'S TROPICAL WEATHER- RTW

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER TROPIC OUTLOOK
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

000
WTNT34 KNHC 311433
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
Subtropical Storm Rebekah Advisory Number   4
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL192019
1100 AM AST Thu Oct 31 2019

...REBEKAH LOSING ORGANIZATION OVER THE FAR NORTH ATLANTIC OCEAN...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...40.7N 35.3W
ABOUT 480 MI...775 KM WNW OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 70 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB...29.24 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
Interests in the Azores should monitor the progress of Rebekah.

There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Subtropical Storm Rebekah
was located near latitude 40.7 North, longitude 35.3 West. The storm
is moving toward the east-northeast near 18 mph (30 km/h). An
eastward turn with some increase in forward speed is anticipated by
early Friday.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher
gusts. The storm should weaken and become a post-tropical cyclone by
this evening or early tomorrow.

Winds of 40 mph extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from the
center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 990 mb (29.24 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Rebekah is forecast to be a post-tropical cyclone when it moves near
the Azores in a day or so.  Please see products issued by the
Portuguese Institute for the Sea and Atmosphere (IPMA) for hazard
information in the Azores related to Rebekah, which can found at
https://www.ipma.pt/pt/index.html.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Blake 

QUICK HALLOWEEN FORECAST MAP

HALLOWEEN QUICK LOOK AT THE FORECAST MAP
OCT 31, 2019...1250 PM EDT

RTW

STORM SYSTEM MOVING EAST WITH SNOW OVER CHICAGO WITH A STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT PRODUCING STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND AND AHEAD OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY HEAVY RAINS AND SEVERE STORMS TRACKING INTO PA, VIRGINIA AND NORTH CAROLINA.  MEAN WHILE THE PANHANDLE OF FLORIDA IS SEEING ANOTHER ROUND OF POSSIBLE HEAVY DOWNPOURS AND YOU CANT RULE OUT THUNDERSTORMS.  CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA SCATTERED ISOLATED FAST MOVING SHOWERS.  STAY SAFE AND HAPPY HALLOWEEN!

RALPH'S TROPICAL WEATHER- RTW 

SUB TROPICAL STORM REBEKAH 11 AM EDT UPDATE

SUB-TROPICAL STORM REBEKAH
OCT 31, 2019...1212 PM EDT
RALPH'S TROPICAL WEATHER- RTW

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER PUBLIC ADVISORY
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

000
WTNT34 KNHC 311433
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
Subtropical Storm Rebekah Advisory Number   4
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL192019
1100 AM AST Thu Oct 31 2019

...REBEKAH LOSING ORGANIZATION OVER THE FAR NORTH ATLANTIC OCEAN...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...40.7N 35.3W
ABOUT 480 MI...775 KM WNW OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 70 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB...29.24 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
Interests in the Azores should monitor the progress of Rebekah.

There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Subtropical Storm Rebekah
was located near latitude 40.7 North, longitude 35.3 West. The storm
is moving toward the east-northeast near 18 mph (30 km/h). An
eastward turn with some increase in forward speed is anticipated by
early Friday.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher
gusts. The storm should weaken and become a post-tropical cyclone by
this evening or early tomorrow.

Winds of 40 mph extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from the
center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 990 mb (29.24 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Rebekah is forecast to be a post-tropical cyclone when it moves near
the Azores in a day or so.  Please see products issued by the
Portuguese Institute for the Sea and Atmosphere (IPMA) for hazard
information in the Azores related to Rebekah, which can found at
https://www.ipma.pt/pt/index.html.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Blake 

STORM INVESTIGATIONS MORNING UPDATE

STORM INVESTIGATIONS
OCT 31, 2019...1108 AM EDT
RALPH'S TROPICAL WEATHER- RTW

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER TROPIC OUTLOOK
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

000
ABNT20 KNHC 311149
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Thu Oct 31 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Subtropical
Storm Rebekah located over the north Atlantic, several hundred
miles west of the Azores.

A broad area of disturbed weather has developed nearly 1000 miles
south-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Some slow development of
this system is possible during the next day or two while it moves
generally westward across the central Atlantic. Upper-level winds
are forecast to become unfavorable for further development by the
weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

&&
Public Advisories on Subtropical Storm Rebekah are issued under
WMO header WTNT34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT4.
Forecast/Advisories are issued under WMO header WTNT24 KNHC and
under AWIPS header MIATCMAT4.

$$
Forecaster Zelinsky

SUB-TROPICAL STORM REBEKAH MORNING UPDATE

SUB-TROPICAL STORM REBEKAH
OCT 31, 2019...1001 AM EDT
RALPH'S TROPICAL WEATHER- RTW

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER PUBLIC ADVISORY
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

000
WTNT34 KNHC 310833
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
Subtropical Storm Rebekah Advisory Number   3
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL192019
500 AM AST Thu Oct 31 2019

...SUBTROPICAL STORM REBEKAH MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE
FAR NORTH ATLANTIC OCEAN...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...39.7N 36.7W
ABOUT 535 MI...860 KM WNW OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 65 DEGREES AT 21 MPH...33 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB...29.15 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
Interests in the Azores should monitor the progress of Rebekah.

There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Subtropical Storm Rebekah
was located near latitude 39.7 North, longitude 36.7 West. The storm
is moving toward the east-northeast near 21 mph (33 km/h), and this
general motion is expected to continue today.  A turn back toward
the east and east-southeast is anticipated tonight and on Friday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is expected today, but gradual weakening
is forecast to begin by this afternoon or tonight. Rebekah should
become a post-tropical cyclone by this afternoon or evening.

Winds of 40 mph extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km) from the
center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 987 mb (29.15 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Rebekah is forecast to be a post-tropical cyclone when it moves near
the Azores in a day or so.  Please see products issued by the
Portuguese Institute for the Sea and Atmosphere (IPMA) for hazard
information in the Azores related to Rebekah, which can found at
https://www.ipma.pt/pt/index.html.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Stewart

 LATEST GUIDANCE MODELS

 GFS ENSEMBLE MODEL

 https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/storminfo/

STORM INVESTIGATIONS 99L AFTERNOON UPDATE

STORM INVESTIGATIONS 99L
OCT 30, 2019...0340 PM EDT
RALPH'S TROPICAL WEATHER- RTW

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER TROPIC OUTLOOK

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

000
ABNT20 KNHC 301723
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Wed Oct 30 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Showers associated with a low pressure system located several
hundred miles west of the westernmost Azores continue to show signs
of organization. If the current organization of shower activity
persists, advisories will likely be initiated on a tropical or
subtropical storm later today or tonight. The system will likely
move over colder waters on Thursday and further development is
unlikely after that time.  The low is producing gale-force winds and
these winds are forecast to continue today, regardless of
development. For more information on this system, see High Seas
Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and
online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php.

$$
Forecaster Pasch

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/storminfo/

STORM INVESTIGATION 99L MORNING UPDATE

STORM INVESTIGATION 99L
OCT 30, 2019...1017 AM EDT
RTW

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER TROPIC OUTLOOK

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ 

433 
ABNT20 KNHC 301136
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Wed Oct 30 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Shower activity associated with a non-tropical low pressure system
located several hundred miles west of the westernmost Azores has
become better organized this morning. Some additional development is
possible and it could become a short-lived subtropical cyclone later
today or tonight. The system will likely move over colder waters on
Thursday and further development is unlikely after that time. The
low is producing gale-force winds and these winds are forecast to
continue today, regardless of development. For more information on
this system, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather
Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and
online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php.

$$
Forecaster Zelinsky 

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/storminfo/

STORM INVEST 99L AFTERNOON UPDATE

STORM INVESTIGATION 99L
OCT 29, 2019...0453 PM EDT
RTW

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER TROPIC OUTLOOK
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

000
ABNT20 KNHC 291735
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Tue Oct 29 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A non-tropical low pressure area located several hundred miles
west-northwest of the Azores is producing a large area of gale to
storm-force winds.  This system could acquire some subtropical
characteristics over the next couple of days while it moves
slowly southwestward to southward over slightly warmer waters.
Environmental conditions are expected to become unfavorable for any
further development by Thursday night when the low is forecast to
move back over colder waters.  For more information of this system,
see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and
online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php.

$$
Forecaster Pasch

STORM INVESTIGATIONS 99L MORNING UPDATE

STORM INVESTIGATIONS
OCT 29, 2019...1042 AM EDT
RALPH'S TROPICAL WEATHER- RTW

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER TROPIC OUTLOOK

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ 

000
ABNT20 KNHC 291127
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Tue Oct 29 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A large non-tropical low pressure area located several hundred miles
west-northwest of the Azores is producing a large area of gale to
storm-force winds. This system could acquire some subtropical
characteristics over the next couple of days while it moves
slowly southward to southeastward over slightly warmer water.
Environmental conditions are expected to become unfavorable for any
further development by Thursday night when the low is forecast to
move back over colder water. For more information of this system,
see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and
online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php.

$$
Forecaster Latto

 https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/storminfo/