Monday, September 24, 2018

TROPICAL UPDATE SEPT 24, 2018... 0326 PM EDT


Kirk downgraded to a remnant low.  There still is a chance for Kirk to make a come back as it tracks futher west.  Kirk will have to slow down it's forward speed for that to happen though.  Kirk is back to being storm investigation 99L...RTW

Leslie stuck and no where to go.  Leslie is only a concern to shipping...RTW

Invest 98L Florence remnants continues to show signs of organzation and is poised to come back for the last time and brush the Outer Banks before going out to sea.

There is always that possibility that 98L could reach tropical storm strength before reaching close to the coast. This time there is a Cold front that will keep 98L off shore and help push it out to sea...RTW













TROPICAL UPDATE SEPT 24, 2018...1008 AM


Kirk doengraded to a depression is forecast to regain it's tropical storm status as it tracks further west.  

So far Kirk has a avoided dry air because it's been tracking at low latitudes and along the inter-tropical convergence zone where condition are more favorable.  

You might ask then why did it weaken to a depression?  

Well this storm system is tracking westward too fast, at a forward speed of 24 mph.  Storms traveling at these speeds produce their own wind shear separating the colder cloud tops from the center of circulation.  

So until this system slows down the likelihood of strengthening is low.  Kirk is forecast to weaken and disspipate in the Caribbean...RTW

As for Leslie that storm is stuck in a poor steering  environment and will be stuck in a loop over the north Atlantic.  Another low is forecast to develop north of Leslie they will more than likely interact weakening Leslie and then that system will be stuck in that loop as well...RTW

Invest 98L the left overs of Florence seems a bit better organized this morning with cold cloud tops blowing up around the low. 

This system will come close to the Outer Banks and produce rain and storm with sqaully conditions upon approach to this area.  

The only good news is that it will be moving along quickly and not hang around...RTW