Here is a disaster supply list from www.floridadisaster.org.
Wednesday, April 30, 2025
Friday, March 14, 2025
..DANGEORUS WEATHER EVENT TODAY.. ..STAY ALERT AND LISTEN TO THE LATEST UPDATE..
DAY 1 CATEGORICAL SEVERE STORM OUTLOOK!
RISK AREAS:
| MODERATE | 129,314 | 10,892,895 | Memphis, TN...St. Louis, MO...Des Moines, IA...Springfield, IL...Peoria, IL... |
| ENHANCED | 153,183 | 19,617,809 | Chicago, IL...Kansas City, MO...Omaha, NE...Lincoln, NE...Jackson, MS... |
| SLIGHT | 143,746 | 17,189,408 | Indianapolis, IN...Nashville, TN...Louisville, KY...Birmingham, AL...Madison, WI... |
| MARGINAL | 246,244 | 23,786,947 | Milwaukee, WI...New Orleans, LA...Minneapolis, MN...Cincinnati, OH...St. Paul, MN... |
TORNADO PROBABILITY!
RISK AREAS:
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point. (More Info)
| SIG SEVERE | 175,226 | 13,717,198 | Memphis, TN...St. Louis, MO...Jackson, MS...Springfield, IL...Evansville, IN... |
| 15 % | 52,050 | 6,096,308 | Memphis, TN...St. Louis, MO...Jackson, TN...St. Charles, MO...St. Peters, MO... |
| 10 % | 123,509 | 7,688,409 | Jackson, MS...Springfield, IL...Evansville, IN...Peoria, IL...Clarksville, TN... |
| 5 % | 166,204 | 25,628,955 | Chicago, IL...Indianapolis, IN...Nashville, TN...Kansas City, MO...Omaha, NE... |
| 2 % | 146,349 | 16,026,914 | New Orleans, LA...Cincinnati, OH...Fort Wayne, IN...Madison, WI...Baton Rouge, LA... |
DAMAGING WIND PROBABILITY!
RISK AREAS:
| SIG SEVERE | 274,231 | 33,871,312 | Chicago, IL...Indianapolis, IN...Memphis, TN...Kansas City, MO...Omaha, NE... |
| 45 % | 100,827 | 8,445,181 | St. Louis, MO...Des Moines, IA...Springfield, IL...Peoria, IL...Davenport, IA... |
| 30 % | 114,577 | 17,621,151 | Chicago, IL...Memphis, TN...Omaha, NE...Lincoln, NE...Aurora, IL... |
| 15 % | 211,625 | 21,626,878 | Indianapolis, IN...Nashville, TN...Kansas City, MO...Louisville, KY...Birmingham, AL... |
| 5 % | 227,849 | 22,778,631 | Milwaukee, WI...New Orleans, LA...Minneapolis, MN...Cincinnati, OH...St. Paul, MN... |
HAIL PROBABILITY!
RISK AREAS:
| SIG SEVERE | 132,953 | 10,105,087 | Memphis, TN...St. Louis, MO...Springfield, IL...Peoria, IL...Davenport, IA... |
| 30 % | 59,479 | 6,430,188 | Memphis, TN...St. Louis, MO...Jackson, TN...St. Charles, MO...Jonesboro, AR... |
| 15 % | 305,862 | 26,976,440 | Nashville, TN...Kansas City, MO...Omaha, NE...Lincoln, NE...Birmingham, AL... |
| 5 % | 242,464 | 32,842,781 | Chicago, IL...Indianapolis, IN...Milwaukee, WI...Minneapolis, MN...Cincinnati, OH... |
Thursday, March 13, 2025
..DAY 2 MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER.. ..MONITOR THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR UPDATES..
Tomorrow day 2 severe storm outlook also a moderate risk. Monitor the Storm Prediction Center for the latest updates.
Categorical Day2 0600Z Outlook
| MODERATE | 74,535 | 6,595,945 | St. Louis, MO...Springfield, IL...Peoria, IL...Decatur, IL...Champaign, IL... |
| ENHANCED | 148,946 | 10,949,371 | Memphis, TN...Nashville, TN...Des Moines, IA...Jackson, MS...Cedar Rapids, IA... |
| SLIGHT | 161,726 | 25,615,980 | Chicago, IL...Indianapolis, IN...Omaha, NE...Louisville, KY...Birmingham, AL... |
| MARGINAL | 238,564 | 25,952,475 | Milwaukee, WI...Kansas City, MO...New Orleans, LA...Minneapolis, MN...Cincinnati, OH... |
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point. (More Info)
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point. (More Info)
| SIG SEVERE | 167,510 | 13,066,521 | Memphis, TN...St. Louis, MO...Jackson, MS...Springfield, IL...Evansville, IN... |
| 10 % | 167,636 | 13,064,310 | Memphis, TN...St. Louis, MO...Jackson, MS...Springfield, IL...Evansville, IN... |
| 5 % | 115,519 | 11,196,816 | Nashville, TN...Birmingham, AL...Des Moines, IA...Little Rock, AR...Aurora, IL... |
| 2 % | 148,321 | 22,057,020 | Chicago, IL...Indianapolis, IN...Kansas City, MO...Omaha, NE...Louisville, KY... |
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point. (More Info)
| SIG SEVERE | 275,941 | 26,512,911 | Memphis, TN...Nashville, TN...Omaha, NE...St. Louis, MO...Des Moines, IA... |
| 45 % | 74,500 | 6,590,875 | St. Louis, MO...Springfield, IL...Peoria, IL...Decatur, IL...Champaign, IL... |
| 30 % | 128,271 | 9,821,432 | Memphis, TN...Nashville, TN...Des Moines, IA...Cedar Rapids, IA...Evansville, IN... |
| 15 % | 182,150 | 26,850,069 | Chicago, IL...Indianapolis, IN...Omaha, NE...Louisville, KY...Birmingham, AL... |
| 5 % | 239,216 | 25,893,933 | Milwaukee, WI...Kansas City, MO...New Orleans, LA...Minneapolis, MN...Cincinnati, OH... |
Probability of one inch diameter hail or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of two inch diameter hail or larger within 25 miles of a point. (More Info
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of two inch diameter hail or larger within 25 miles of a point. (More Info
| SIG SEVERE | 128,916 | 9,964,289 | Memphis, TN...St. Louis, MO...Springfield, IL...Peoria, IL...Davenport, IA... |
| 30 % | 44,478 | 4,476,087 | St. Louis, MO...St. Charles, MO...St. Peters, MO...Florissant, MO...Chesterfield, MO... |
| 15 % | 315,039 | 32,669,424 | Chicago, IL...Memphis, TN...Nashville, TN...Omaha, NE...Birmingham, AL... |
| 5 % | 206,495 | 24,900,793 | Indianapolis, IN...Milwaukee, WI...Kansas City, MO...Minneapolis, MN...Cincinnati, OH... |
DAY 3 IS NOW HAS A MODERATE RISK FOR SEVERE STORMS AND DAMAGING TORNADO!
Moderate risk for severe storms and tornado on day 3! Monitor the Storm Prediction Center for changes to the forecast out risk areas.
Categorical Outlook:
These are the risk areas at this time:
| MODERATE | 64,015 | 6,517,615 | New Orleans, LA...Birmingham, AL...Baton Rouge, LA...Montgomery, AL...Mobile, AL... |
| ENHANCED | 131,293 | 16,732,431 | Nashville, TN...Atlanta, GA...Columbus, GA...Knoxville, TN...Huntsville, AL... |
| SLIGHT | 182,466 | 27,416,384 | Columbus, OH...Memphis, TN...Cleveland, OH...Pittsburgh, PA...Cincinnati, OH... |
| MARGINAL | 105,921 | 13,395,305 | Indianapolis, IN...Charlotte, NC...Toledo, OH...Fort Wayne, IN...Winston-Salem, NC... |
Probabilistic Outlook:
Probability of severe weather within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of significant severe weather within 25 miles of a point.
| SIG SEVERE | 195,570 | 23,301,787 | Nashville, TN...New Orleans, LA...Atlanta, GA...Birmingham, AL...Baton Rouge, LA... |
| 45 % | 63,985 | 6,513,463 | New Orleans, LA...Birmingham, AL...Baton Rouge, LA...Montgomery, AL...Mobile, AL... |
| 30 % | 131,443 | 16,735,634 | Nashville, TN...Atlanta, GA...Columbus, GA...Knoxville, TN...Huntsville, AL... |
| 15 % | 182,879 | 27,608,430 | Columbus, OH...Memphis, TN...Cleveland, OH...Pittsburgh, PA...Cincinnati, OH... |
| 5 % | 105,790 | 13,391,165 | Detroit, MI...Indianapolis, IN...Charlotte, NC...Toledo, OH...Fort Wayne, IN... |
Friday, January 24, 2025
MODELS STILL SUGGESTING A COLD SATURDAY
06z and latest 12z models still showing another cold morning Saturday in the mid to lower 40°s. A bit breezy so It will make feel like upper 30°s in Miami-Dade and Broward and colder west of Lake Okeechobee. Don't forget to bring your pets in door during these cold weather events. If you feel cold so do they!
Wednesday, January 22, 2025
WAKING UP TO ANOTHER GLOOMY MORNING WITH TEMPS IN THE 50S AND A STIFF BREEZE!
Follow me on Facebook daily updates there! Ralph's Tropical Weather RTW
A chilly, damp, foggy start to the morning in south Florida courtesy of another cold front. In the next few days, another front will drop in, reinforcing the cold air, and temps will be much colder than this morning. Looking at 40s at 7 am Friday and Saturday morning with highs in the 60s. Below are this morning's forecast models.
Tuesday, November 19, 2024
..THE COLDER TEMPS ON THE WAY FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY NOV 19, 2024..
Good afternoon to all!
Well, we are finally going to feel colder temperatures Friday through Monday. Well deserved, being that this summer was brutal.
There will be a chance for isolated showers and thunderstorms as the front passes through Wednesday into Thursday morning. You can't rule out one of those storms being strong; however, nothing severe is expected as SPC has a general thunderstorm risk for the state of Florida.
The strongest of the weather today will be from Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, and the Florida Panhandle.
Most of the models show that convective activity in the northern Gulf will be losing its energy as it approaches the Florida west coast. This enhancement of thunderstorms comes from Sara's left-over energy.
Most of the models show that convective activity in the northern Gulf will be losing its energy as it approaches the Florida west coast. This enhancement of thunderstorms comes from Sara's left-over energy.
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