EYE ON THE TROPICS JUNE 18, 2017 0313 AM EDT... "HAPPY FATHER'S DAY"...

INVEST 92L STILL NO CHANGE WITH THIS SYSTEM AND IT IS SLOWLY TRACKING TOWARD 55 WEST WHERE THE SOUTHWESTERLY WIND SHEAR IS UNFAVORABLE AT THIS TIME. 

ALSO AS THIS SYSTEM ENTERS THE EAST CARIBBEAN THERE IS NORTHWESTERLY WIND SHEAR NEAR 65 WEST THAT COULD ALSO HINDER DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM. 

THIS SYSTEM STILL HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE 40% WITHIN 48HRS. AND A MEDIUM CHANCE 50% WITHIN 5-DAYS. 

NOTE THAT IS A DECREASE FROM 60% EARLIER DUE FORESEEABLE UNFAVORABLE CONDITIONS AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM.

INVEST 93L IN THE NORTHWEST CARIBBEAN CONTINUES TO SLOWLY DEVELOP.  THIS SYSTEM SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE NOW BEING ENHANCED BY A WESTWARD MOVING TROPICAL WAVE THAT IS FIRING UP HEAVY RAINS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER SOUTHERN CUBA, CAYMAN ISLANDS, JAMAICA AND NORTHEAST COAST OF NICARAGUA.

THIS SYSTEM STILL HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE 40% WITHIN 48HRS. AND AN MEDIUM CHANCE 80% WITHIN 5-DAYS.

THE TRACK OF THIS SYSTEM IS SOMEWHAT STILL UNCERTAIN WITH SOME MODELS SUGGESTING TEXAS, LOUSIANA, AND NORTHERN FLORIDA. 

I SUGGEST THAT THOSE WHO LIVE IN THE GULF COAST SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS DEVELOPING SYSTEM...RTW