HARVEY AND INVEST 92L UPDATE 1135 PM EDT AUG 18, 2017

RTW: Review of the Tropics

1. Not much change with this tropical wave.  Forecast call for some what favorable conditions for may be some development next week.

2. INVEST 92L is having a difficult time developing with 91L has been under the influence dry air and upper level shear north of this system.  Conditions ahead of 92L are not looking any better so it will continue having a hard time developing.  In fact most of the models like the GFS and the EURO model suggest a tropical wave as it approaches the Bahamas.  However, disturbance that come from that direction will be monitored closely.

3. For latest updates on HARVEY click here>> The National Hurricane Center...RTW
 http://ralphstropicalweather.myfreesites.net

 

000
WTNT34 KNHC 190233
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Harvey Advisory Number   7
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL092017
1100 PM AST Fri Aug 18 2017

...HARVEY CONTINUES WESTWARD OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.7N 64.1W
ABOUT 280 MI...450 KM S OF ST. CROIX
ABOUT 345 MI...555 KM ENE OF CURACAO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests in the Caribbean Sea and the adjacent land areas of
eastern Central America and northern South America should monitor
the progress of Harvey.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Harvey was
located near latitude 13.7 North, longitude 64.1 West.  Harvey is
moving toward the west near 18 mph (30 km/h).  An even faster
motion toward the west is expected during the next couple of days.
On the forecast track, the center of Harvey will move across the
eastern and central Caribbean Sea over the weekend.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Slow strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km)
to the north of the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  Locally heavy rains could occur tonight over portions of
the Windward Islands and the offshore islands of northern Venezuela.
Locally heavy rains could also occur over Aruba, Bonaire, and
Curacao on Saturday.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Berg