Wednesday, September 27, 2017

EYES OF THE CARIBBEAN DISTURABANCE INTO NEXT WEEK

Quick review of the new Storm Invest in the Caribbean I been mentioning for the past week of so. Although some models do not suggest strong development and more like a rain event, we need to monitor this area closely seeing how this season has been thus far.

The sea surface temps in this region are 30-31°C or 86-88°F. Perfect fuel for tropical cyclone to develop and strengthen in.

We don't want any surprises and want to be ready specially those in the Florida straits that suffered the most from Irma. Remember this is a closer system to home and if it did develop and strengthen unexpectedly it would not give folks in the Florida straits ample time to get out. Luckily we have a large land mass between this system and Florida.

Upper level winds are forecast to become unfavorable north of the Grand Bahamas as this system tracks north-northwest toward the east of Florida maybe that will not give it much time to develop.

I am not trying to hype things up, its just this season, I have learned not to trust, any of these so called weak developing system. Good example of that is baby major Hurricane Lee in the Atlantic. That system was written off then it made a come back and reached major storm status this morning. So please stay tuned to local news via TV or local radio and I will do my best to keep you up to date in the coming days.
RTW



No comments:

Post a Comment

Note: Only a member of this blog may post a comment.