HURRICANE IRMA 0500 PM EDT FORECAST INFO

...IRMA MOVING SOUTH OF DUE WEST ACROSS THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC...

000
WTNT31 KNHC 022045 CCA
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
Hurricane Irma Advisory Number  14...Corrected
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL112017
500 PM AST Sat Sep 02 2017

Corrected to add west in motion paragraph

...IRMA MOVING SOUTH OF DUE WEST ACROSS THE CENTRAL TROPICAL
ATLANTIC...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.5N 44.6W
ABOUT 1135 MI...1825 KM E OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 265 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...973 MB...28.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests in the northern Leeward Islands should monitor the
progress of Irma.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Irma was located
near latitude 18.5 North, longitude 44.6 West. Irma is moving a
little south of due west near 15 mph (24 km/h), and this general
motion is expected to continue for the next couple of days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 110 mph (175 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours.

Irma is currently a small hurricane, with hurricane-force winds
extending outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the center and
tropical-storm-force winds extending outward up to 70 miles
(110 km). However, the hurricane is expected to grow in size during
the next couple of days.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 973 mb (28.74 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Beven 

 Note red line is latest NHC forecast track. The others are previous from the morning.  You can see the NHC has had to adjust their track further to the south or left of previous track.  This is due to the high pressure ridge to Irma's north curving southwestward and this forces the storm to track West of due South.  That will have to watched closely, because this could change forecast for the Northern Leeward Islands and put then in harms way.  This also changes the tracks further west.  Keep monitoring closely and Leeward Island be ready for a hurricane if it does not shift northward...RTW