IRMAD 00z MODEL RUN 0900 PM EDT SEPT 4, 2017

MODELS STILL TURNING TOWARD THE NORTH WITH SOME EAST OF FLORIDA MODELS MINUS CLP5 THAT IS A HISTORICAL MODEL OF PAST STORM TRACKS. 

THE HWFI MODEL WHICH I BEEN FOLLOWING IS NOW FURTHER NORTH OVER THE FLORIDA STRAITS.  THE HMON HAS NOW TURN TO THE NORTHWEST.  WHICH WAS PREVIOUSLY WHERE THE HWFI  IS A PRESENT.  IT IS NOT LOOKING GOOD FOR THE FLORIDA STRAITS AND FLORIDA AS I SEE IT NOW UNLESS A TROUGH DIGS DOWN EARLIER AND HELPS KEEP IRMA OFFSHORE. 

INTENSITY MODEL KEEPS IRMA AS A CAT 4 AS IT APPROACHES FLORIDA AND ONE MODEL SUGGEST CAT 5 IRMA.  THIS CAN NOT BE RULED OUT.