Friday, September 15, 2017

JOSE AND TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14 UPDATE 11PM EDT 9/15/17

...JOSE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HIGH SURF AND LIFE-THREATENING RIP CURRENTS ALONG PORTIONS OF THE U.S. EAST COAST...

000
WTNT32 KNHC 151452
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Jose Advisory Number  41
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL122017
1100 AM AST Fri Sep 15 2017

...AN AIR FORCE PLANE IS EN ROUTE TO DETERMINE IF JOSE IS A
HURRICANE AGAIN...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.5N 69.4W
ABOUT 360 MI...575 KM NE OF THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
ABOUT 485 MI...785 KM SW OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests from North Carolina northward to New England on the east
coast of the United States should monitor the progress of this
system.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Jose was
located near latitude 26.5 North, longitude 69.4 West. Jose is
moving toward the northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h).  This general
motion is expected today, follow by a turn to the north-northwest
by late Saturday and toward the north on Sunday.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours. An
Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is currently en route to
obtain a better wind speed estimate.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 989 mb (29.21 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF:  Swells generated by Jose are affecting Bermuda, the Bahamas,
the northern coasts of Hispaniola and Puerto Rico, and the southeast
coast of the United States, and will spread northward along the
Mid-Atlantic coast of the U.S. during the next few days.  These
swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions.  For more information, please consult products from your
local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Blake


...TROPICAL DEPRESSION MOVING WESTWARD OVER THE FAR EASTERN ATLANTIC......FORECAST TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM...

000
WTNT34 KNHC 151433
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Fourteen Advisory Number   3
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL142017
1100 AM AST Fri Sep 15 2017

...DEPRESSION FORECAST TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...11.4N 28.3W
ABOUT 430 MI...690 KM SW OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression
Fourteen was located near latitude 11.4 North, longitude 28.3 West.
The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 10 mph (17
km/h), and a west or west-northwest motion is forecast during the
next couple of days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
The depression is forecast to become a tropical storm later today.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Blake

 
 



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