Wednesday, October 25, 2017

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK OCT 25, 2017 1045 AM EDT

A broad area of low pressure located over the western Caribbean Sea
continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms over
Nicaragua, Honduras, and the adjacent waters.  Close proximity to
land is likely to limit development of this system for the next day
or so.  However, environmental conditions are expected to be
conducive for the system to become more organized later this week as
it moves slowly northward over the northwestern Caribbean Sea.
Strong upper-level winds associated with an approaching cold front
will likely prevent further development by Sunday.  Regardless of
development, locally heavy rains are likely over portions of Central
America and Cuba during the next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Zelinsky


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