Friday, June 1, 2018

AFTERNOON TROPICAL OUTLOOK UPDATE JUNE 1, 2018

 National Hurricane Center
...TROPICAL WAVES...  

1. An Atlantic Ocean tropical wave is along 27W/28W from 12N southward, moving westward 10 to 15 knots. The wave is depicted as a broad trough of moisture on SSMI TPW imagery. Precipitation: isolated moderate to locally strong rain showers, that are in the ITCZ precipitation, are from 02N to 08N between 20W and 30W...NHC 

2. A SE Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 62W/63W from 18N southward, moving westward 10 to 15 knots. The wave shows up well on SSMI total precipitable water imagery. The wave is moving through the area of upper level cyclonic wind flow with a trough. Comparatively drier air in subsidence is apparent in water vapor imagery from 16N southward between 60W and 76W. Precipitation: rain showers are possible from 16N to 19N between 60W and 66W, and elsewhere from 19N southward to land between 60W and 70W...NHC

Ralph's Tropical Weather (RTW)

3. There are no signs of tropical cyclone formation with wave 1 and 2...RTW

4. Off the coast of Africa there still is Sahara dry air and Dust. Doesn't seem to be 
affecting the monzoon thunderstorm activity along the inter tropical convergence zone (ITCZ) along and south of the 10° West Latitude.

5. I will be monitoring the Northwest Caribbean again during the 2nd week
of June since the GFS model is once again insisting on development in this region...RTW 
 
ralphstropicalweather.com 
 African Infrared ch 13 Satellite
Atlantic Wide view
 

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