Thursday, June 14, 2018

AFTERNOON TROPICAL UPDATE JUNE 14, 2018... 0328 PM EDT

National Hurricane Center
000
ABNT20 KNHC 141730
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Thu Jun 14 2018

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A surface trough, accompanied by an area of disorganized showers
and thunderstorms, has emerged over the southern Gulf of Mexico and
the Bay of Campeche. This system is expected to move generally
west-northwestward over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico today
through Saturday.  Development, if any, of this disturbance should
be slow to occur due to strong upper-level winds.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

$$
Forecaster Stewart
 
ralphstropicalweather.com
  
Some of the models are suggesting heavy rains for Texas and a portion of Louisiana...RTW
Day 1-5 Rainfall Forecast 
GFS Precipitable Water Model


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