...TROPICAL WAVES... Currently, three tropical waves are observed between the coast of Africa and the Lesser Antilles. A tropical wave is along 22W from 02N-12N. This wave shows up well as a low amplitude moisture surge on the TPW product. Currently, convection is limited near the wave's axis. African dust surrounds the wave limiting convection. A tropical wave is along 32W/33W from 02N-13N moving westward 15 to 20 kt. This wave shows up well as a low amplitude moisture surge on the TPW product. Scattered showers are near the southern end of the wave's axis. Saharan dust surrounds the wave limiting convection. Another tropical wave is along 47W/48W from 03N-13N. The wave coincides with a surge of moistened air. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 06N-08N between 42W-47W. A tropical wave is moving across Hispaniola. Its axis is along 71W south of 19N, moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered showers and isolated tstms are noted over Hispaniola in association with this system, forecast to move west through the central Caribbean today reaching the west Caribbean waters on Tue and Wed. A tropical wave is moving across the Yucatan Peninsula and Guatemala, with axis along 91W. This wave is forecast to weaken as it enters the EPAC region.
-----------------------------------------------------------------I will continue to monitor the Northwest and Southern Caribbean for
development even though the GFS has now changed the forecast to No
development. For the past two weeks the model has been persistently
saying development and now it has changed its tune. So just to being
cautious, I will continue to monitor during this week...RTW
NOTICE TO MY VIEWERS: I WILL BE CELEBRATING MY 38 WEDDING
ANNIVERSARY TOMORROW TUESDAY JUNE 12, 2018. I WILL POST
THE MORNING TROPICAL UPDATE BUT MAY NOT BE ABLE TO POST
THE AFTERNOON UPDATE. I WILL RESUME NORMAL UPDATES ON
WEDNESDAY JUNE 13, 2018. SORRY FOR THE INCONVENIENCE.
Ralph's Tropical Weather (RTW)
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