TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK JULY 6, 2018... 0431 PM EDT

National Hurricane Center

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Hurricane Beryl near 10.7N 46.5W 994 mb at 11 AM EDT, or about 
1045 miles east-southeast of the Lesser Antilles, moving W at 13 
kt. Maximum sustained winds 70 kt gusts 85 kt. Scattered 
moderate to strong convection is observed within 30 nm east and 
150 nm west of the center. Beryl will move to 11.3N 47.9W this 
evening, 12.2N 50.1W Sat morning, 13.3N 53.0W Sat evening, 14.2N 
56.6W Sun morning, and weaken to a tropical storm near 16.2N 
64.6W Mon morning. Beryl will move inland over Hispaniola near 
18.5N 72.0W early Tue, and dissipate on Wed.

A well-defined surface low is located a few hundred miles 
southeast of the North Carolina coast. Scattered showers and 
thunderstorms observed mainly within 210 nm over the south 
semicircle are beginning to organize into persistent bands. 
Environmental conditions are very favorable for tropical 
development as the low moves slowly northwestward and then 
forecast to meander off the coast of North Carolina. This system 
will likely become a tropical depression. Refer to the latest 
NHC Tropical Weather Outlook under AWIPS/WMO headers 
MIATWOAT/ABNT20 KNHC for additional information.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave is analyzed from 04N to 16N along 26W and is 
estimated to be progressing west at 15 kt. Scattered moderate 
convection is observed south of 10N within 210 nm east of the 
wave axis. Expect a fresh northeast to east to southeast wind 
shift along the wave axis as it continues westward across the 
tropical Atlantic.  

A tropical wave is analyzed from 05N to 17N along 57W, and is 
estimated to be progressing west at 18 kt. Scattered moderate 
convection is observed within 75 nm either side of a line from 
07N53W to 12N61W.

A tropical wave is moving west across the Yucatan Peninsula, 
Belize and Guatemala accompanied by scattered thunderstorms 
mainly to the north of 15N. The northern extent of this wave 
will pass west across the southwest Gulf of Mexico early net 
week.  https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

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