ERNESTO AND INVEST 99L UPDATE AUG 17, 2018... 1202 PM EDT

ERNESTO UPDATE:

535 
WTNT35 KNHC 171441
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Ernesto Advisory Number  10
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL052018
1100 AM AST Fri Aug 17 2018

...ERNESTO STILL A TROPICAL STORM...
...EXPECTED TO BECOME POST-TROPICAL TONIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...47.1N 32.9W
ABOUT 695 MI...1120 KM NNW OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 50 DEGREES AT 30 MPH...48 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Ernesto was
located near latitude 47.1 North, longitude 32.9 West. Ernesto is
moving toward the northeast near 30 mph (48 km/h), and an
even faster motion toward the northeast or east-northeast is
expected during the next day or two.  On the forecast track, the
post-tropical cyclone or its remnants will move across Ireland and
the United Kingdom Saturday night.

Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts.
While little change in strength is forecast during the next 36
hours, Ernesto is expected to become a post-tropical cyclone tonight
and then become extratropical as it merges with a frontal zone on
Saturday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 160 miles (260 km)
mainly to the southeast of the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Information on rainfall and wind forecasts for Ireland can be
found in products issued by Met Eireann at www.met.ie and for the
United Kingdom in products issued by the United Kingdom Met Office
at www.metoffice.gov/uk.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Brown 

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

-------------------------------------------------------------------

STORM INVEST 99L

889 
ABNT20 KNHC 171131
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Fri Aug 17 2018

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Ernesto, located several hundred miles northwest of the
Azores.

A tropical wave located about 400 miles east-southeast of the
Windward Islands continues to produce disorganized showers and
thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions are only marginally
conducive, and significant development of this system is not
anticipated.  This disturbance is moving westward at about 15 mph
and is forecast to move through the Windward Islands on Saturday,
where it could bring locally heavy rainfall to portions of the
Lesser Antilles during the next couple of days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brown

-----------------------------------------------------------------

ERNESTO TO BECOME POST-TROPICAL TONIGHT!

STORM INVEST 99L NOT VERY WELL ORGANIZED AS IT TRACKS TOWARD THE 

ANTILLES.  INTENSITY MODELS CALL FOR A CAT 1 HURRICANE BUT LOOKING AT 

ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS THEY ARE MARGINALLY FAVORABLE AS THIS WEATHER

SYSTEM TRACKS TOWARD THE EAST CARIBBEAN.  DEVELOPMENT IF ANY WILL BE

SLOW TO OCCUR AND SHORT LIVED...RTW 

https://ralphstropicalweather.com/ 

 STORM INVEST 99L