FLORENCE UPDATE SEPT 7 2018...1122 AM EDT

FLORENCE UPDATE BY NHC

632 
WTNT31 KNHC 071442
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Florence Advisory Number  33
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL062018
1100 AM AST Fri Sep 07 2018

...FLORENCE'S WEAKENING APPEARS TO HAVE STOPPED FOR THE MOMENT...
...RESTRENGTHENING EXPECTED OVER THE WEEKEND...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.0N 51.8W
ABOUT 865 MI...1390 KM NE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
ABOUT 935 MI...1505 KM ESE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.42 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Florence was
located near latitude 25.0 North, longitude 51.8 West.  Florence is
moving toward the west near 8 mph (13 km/h), and this general motion
is expected to continue through Sunday.  A west-northwestward
motion with an increase in forward speed is forecast over the
southwestern Atlantic Ocean early next week.

Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Little change in intensity is expected during the next day
or so, but restrengthening is forecast over the weekend.  Florence
could become a hurricane again by Saturday night or Sunday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 996 mb (29.42 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF:  Swells generated by Florence will begin to affect Bermuda
later today and will reach portions of the U.S. East Coast over the
weekend.  These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and
rip current conditions.  Please consult products from your local
weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Berg 

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ 

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 NHC official forecast track a tad to the left of previous forecast.  This seems to
have been the trend.  RTW
https://ralphstropicalweather.com/ 

Latest Guidance still a bit spread out but the focus seems to be the Carolinas
and points north of there.  RTW

 CMC model runs have been pretty consistent on a track toward Cape Hatteras.  RTW

 The NHC H-Models seems to be trending left of previous model run as well.  RTW

 UKMET has been consistent with a west to a west-northwest track while the
Hurricane Center models to the right of the UKMET and a track toward the 
Carolina's.  RTW