This update will be dedicated to Kirk since it's the only storm system threatening land.
Kirk has been gradually strengthening even though it has been encountering southwesterly shear.
Satellite this afternoon shows upper level winds disrupting the west quadrant of the tropical cyclone, and these winds are increasing as Kirk reaches the islands.
Kirk is forecast to pass over the islands as a tropical storm but the likelihood of further strengthening is low. Upper level shear in the Eastern Caribbean is very hostile and this should weaken Kirk to a depression and eventually to remnant low. Most models show Kirk dissipating in the Caribbean.
Residents of the northern Windward and Leeward Islands should prepare for tropical storm conditions and localized heavy rainfall...RTW
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