Thursday, September 20, 2018

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK SEPT 20, 2018... 0322 PM EDT


Invest 97L not looking as well define as earlier.  In fact this system seems to be in a shear environment and dry air is also interacting with this 97L.  Chances for development are still low and have dropped to 10% within 48 hrs and within 5-days.

Invest 98L has not yet developed but most of the models suggesting development from this system over the north Central Atlantic in the coming days.  This system has a MED chance 50% within 5- days.  No a threat to land a fish storm!

Another area of investigation will emerge off the African coast In a day or so.  That has a LOW chance 0% within 48 hrs and 20% within 5-days.

An area of low pressure near Bermuda more than likely the remnants of Florence seems to be getting better organized and is forecast to turn back toward the Eastern seaboard and maybe brush the coast as it turns north and east.

I will continue to monitor the Caribbean for development in the coming weeks...RTW













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