TROPICAL UPDATE OCT 3, 2018... 0404 PM EDT

Leslie tracking over the north Central Atlantic.  Bermuda is feeling swells from the tropical Cyclone.

Broad are of low pressure located in the South Caribbean is still being monitored for tropical cyclone formation.

Last three model run has been trending to a weaker system and more toward the west-northwest.  There were a few that took it north. It's hard to tell if these run are valid because we don't have an actual center of circulation so these model run are all questionable for now.

I do believe if any of these model run to the west were to be valid, it could be due to high pressure in the Atlantic building west over Florida.  If that were the case, then we could see a Mexico or even Texas landfall.  However, like I said before these model run are questionable for now...RTW