TROPICAL UPDATE OCT 6, 2018... 0210 PM EDT

• LESLIE TRACK EASTWARD ONLY A THREAT TO SHIPPING.

• STORM INVEST 91L STILL UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF UPPER LEVEL SHEAR.  THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE FOR DEVELOPMENT, 80% WITHIN 48 HRS. AND 90% WITHIN 5-DAYS.  AS THIS SYSTEM MOVES AWAY FROM THE NORTHWEST CARIBBEAN CONDITIONS BECOME MORE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT.  INTEREST IN THE YUCATAN, WESTERN CUBA, FLORIDA KEYS, LOUISIANA THROUGH THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

• STORM INVEST 97E IN THE EAST PACIFIC SOME OF THE MODELS HINT THAT THIS LOW WILL CROSS OVER INTO THE CARIBBEAN AND COULD HEAD INTO THE GULF AS WELL.  ITS NOW MOVED OVER CENTRAL AMERICA SO THE CHANCES FOR DEVELOPMENT ARE NOW 0%.  I WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR IT INTO NEXT WEEK.

RTW

 LESLIE

 INVEST 91L

 INVEST 97E