Monday, July 2, 2018

TROPICAL OUTLOOK JULY 2, 2018... 0400 PM EDT

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave has an axis extending from 17N29W to 05N29W and 
is moving W at around 15 to 20 kt. Satellite imagery depicts a total 
precipitable water surge in conjunction with this wave. Saharan
dust is embedded in the northern portion of the wave. Scattered 
moderate convection is from 03N to 09N between 26W and 32W. 

A tropical wave has an axis extending from 19N50W to 05N51W. This
wave is moving W around 15 to 20 kt. This wave coincides with an 
inverted-V signature in total precipitable water data and visible 
satellite imagery. At this time, the wave is surrounded by 
Saharan dust which is inhibiting almost all of the deep convection
in the vicinity of this wave, except for isolated moderate
convection within 60 nm of the wave axis S of 12N.

A tropical wave over the central Caribbean has an axis extending 
from 19N70W to 05N70W, moving westward at 25 to 30 knots. This 
wave displays a low amplitude inverted-V signature evident in 
total precipitable water satellite imagery. Scattered moderate 
convection associated with the wave is noted over Venezuela, and 
from 11N to 15N between 70W and 75W, while Saharan dust 
surrounding the northern portion of the wave is inhibiting 
convection over the north-central Caribbean. 

A tropical wave extends from the extreme SW Gulf of Mexico near
20N95W to SE Mexico, to the Eastern Pacific, moving westward at 10
to 15 kt. Scattered thunderstorms are within 60 nm of the wave 
axis over the Gulf of Mexico and SE Mexico. https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
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NHC is monitoring a low pressure south of the Modbile Alabama and the Florida 
Panhandle for tropical development as it produces
showers and storms over the region.  Low is forecast to track westward
and spread heavy rains over the Southeast states...RTW 
 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK JULY 2, 2018... 1100 AM EDT

National Hurricane Center
...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave has an axis extending from 16N28W to 05N29W and 
is moving W at around 25 kt. Scattered moderate and isolated 
strong convection is noted from 04N to 08N between 31W and 36W. 
Satellite imagery depicts a total precipitable water surge in 
conjunction with this wave.

A tropical wave has an axis extending from 19N49W to 03N50W. This
wave is moving W around 25 kt. This wave is well defined in model
700 and 850 mb fields and coincides with an inverted-V signature 
in total precipitable water data. At this time, the wave is 
surrounded by Saharan dust which is inhibiting almost all of the 
deep convection in the vicinity of this wave, except for an area 
of scattered moderate convection near the southern tip of the wave
from 04N to 06N between 47W and 52W.

A tropical wave over the eastern Caribbean has an axis extending 
from 19N67W to 04N68W, moving westward around 30 knots. This wave 
displays a low amplitude inverted-V signature evident in total
precipitable water satellite imagery. Scattered moderate 
convection associated with the wave is noted over Venezuela, while
Saharan dust surrounding the northern portion of the wave is 
inhibiting convection over the Caribbean. 

A tropical wave has an axis extending from the Isthmus of 
Tehuantepec near 18N94W to over the EPAC waters near 10N95W. Total
precipitable water satellite imagery shows the north side of this
wave has only limited moisture to work with. Accordingly, 
numerous moderate and isolated strong convection associated with 
this wave lies primarily over the Gulf of Tehuantepec from 14N to 
17N between 93W and 96W. This wave will continue moving W across 
southern Mexico today and support the formation of showers and 
thunderstorms along the coast of Mexico to the W of the Gulf of 
Tehuantepec.  https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
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The tropics remain quiet for now... RTW