Monday, July 2, 2018

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK JULY 2, 2018... 1100 AM EDT

National Hurricane Center
...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave has an axis extending from 16N28W to 05N29W and 
is moving W at around 25 kt. Scattered moderate and isolated 
strong convection is noted from 04N to 08N between 31W and 36W. 
Satellite imagery depicts a total precipitable water surge in 
conjunction with this wave.

A tropical wave has an axis extending from 19N49W to 03N50W. This
wave is moving W around 25 kt. This wave is well defined in model
700 and 850 mb fields and coincides with an inverted-V signature 
in total precipitable water data. At this time, the wave is 
surrounded by Saharan dust which is inhibiting almost all of the 
deep convection in the vicinity of this wave, except for an area 
of scattered moderate convection near the southern tip of the wave
from 04N to 06N between 47W and 52W.

A tropical wave over the eastern Caribbean has an axis extending 
from 19N67W to 04N68W, moving westward around 30 knots. This wave 
displays a low amplitude inverted-V signature evident in total
precipitable water satellite imagery. Scattered moderate 
convection associated with the wave is noted over Venezuela, while
Saharan dust surrounding the northern portion of the wave is 
inhibiting convection over the Caribbean. 

A tropical wave has an axis extending from the Isthmus of 
Tehuantepec near 18N94W to over the EPAC waters near 10N95W. Total
precipitable water satellite imagery shows the north side of this
wave has only limited moisture to work with. Accordingly, 
numerous moderate and isolated strong convection associated with 
this wave lies primarily over the Gulf of Tehuantepec from 14N to 
17N between 93W and 96W. This wave will continue moving W across 
southern Mexico today and support the formation of showers and 
thunderstorms along the coast of Mexico to the W of the Gulf of 
Tehuantepec.  https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
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The tropics remain quiet for now... RTW

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