I am still watching the East Pacific and Caribbean into next week as well since GFS still insist on development.
Ralph's Tropical Weather RTW
National Hurricane Center
ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Special Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 125 PM EDT Sat May 18 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: 1. A large and elongated area of cloudiness and disorganized thunderstorms has developed well to the east of the Bahamas. An area of low pressure is expected to form within this area of disturbed weather several hundred miles south or southwest of Bermuda by early next week. Gradual development of this system into a tropical or subtropical cyclone is possible during the early and middle part of next week while it moves northward or northeastward. The next Special Tropical Weather Outlook will be issued by 2 AM EDT Sunday, or sooner if conditions warrant. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. Forecaster Stewart
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