1. A westward moving tropical wave near 33°-34° West is not showing any signs of tropical cyclone formation at this time. Thunderstorms between 40°-10° West and South of 5° North are mainly associated with the Inter Tropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ). The southern axis of this wave seems to be enhancing thunderstorms along this area.
2. I'm still monitoring the East Pacific and Caribbean for tropical cyclone formation the first week of June. NHC is monitoring a low INVEST 91E inland over Central America that could move into the southern or northwest Caribbean and develop.
NOTE TO MY FOLLOWERS!
I WILL BE OUT ON VACATION WITH THE FAMILY MAY 25-28. I WILL NOT BE DOING MY GRAPHIC DURING THOSE DAYS SINCE I WON'T HAVE MY LAP TOP WITH ME, SO I WILL USE THIRD PARTY MAPS AND POST QUICK UPDATES FROM MY PHONE WHEN POSSIBLE. I WILL RESUME REGULAR UPDATES MAY 29, 2019. I APOLOGIZE FOR THE INCONVENIENCE.
RTW
National Hurricane Center
ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Thu May 23 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: 1. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms along portions of the west coast of Central America and the far eastern North Pacific are associated with a broad area of low pressure. Earlier satellite wind data indicated that the large circulation has moved inland over Central America and the chance for development has decreased. Regardless of development, locally heavy rains are likely to continue over portions of Central America as this system remains nearly stationary during the next few days. These rains could cause flash flooding and mudslides in areas of mountainous terrain. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. Forecaster Latto/Brown
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