Thursday, May 23, 2019

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK MAY 23, 2019 1135 AM EDT

TROPICAL WAVES:

1. A westward moving tropical wave near 33°-34° West is not showing any signs of tropical cyclone formation at this time.  Thunderstorms between 40°-10° West and South of 5° North are mainly associated with the Inter Tropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ).  The southern axis of this wave seems to be enhancing thunderstorms along this area.

2.  I'm still monitoring the East Pacific and Caribbean for tropical cyclone formation the first week of June.  NHC is monitoring a low INVEST 91E inland over Central America that could move into the southern or northwest Caribbean and develop.

NOTE TO MY FOLLOWERS!
I WILL BE OUT ON VACATION WITH THE FAMILY MAY 25-28.  I WILL NOT BE DOING MY GRAPHIC DURING THOSE DAYS SINCE I WON'T HAVE MY LAP TOP WITH ME, SO I WILL USE THIRD PARTY MAPS AND POST QUICK UPDATES FROM MY PHONE WHEN POSSIBLE.  I WILL RESUME REGULAR UPDATES MAY 29, 2019.  I APOLOGIZE FOR THE INCONVENIENCE.

RTW




National Hurricane Center 
ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Thu May 23 2019

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms along portions of the west
coast of Central America and the far eastern North Pacific are
associated with a broad area of low pressure. Earlier satellite wind
data indicated that the large circulation has moved inland over
Central America and the chance for development has decreased.
Regardless of development, locally heavy rains are likely to
continue over portions of Central America as this system remains
nearly stationary during the next few days. These rains could cause
flash flooding and mudslides in areas of mountainous terrain.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

Forecaster Latto/Brown
 


 


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