Sunday, June 2, 2019

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK JUNE 2, 2019 0246 PM EDT


TROPICAL WAVES:

#1  A westward moving tropical wave between 16°/17° West is interacting with the Inter-tropical conversion zone (ITCZ) along the southern axis of the wave.  there are no signs of organization at this time.

#2 A westward tropical wave between 28°/29° West is also interacting with the ITCZ along the souther axis of the wave.  there are no signs of tropical cyclone formation at this time.

#3  A westward moving tropical wave between 48°/49° West is lacking convection (thunderstorms) to the south of the wave.  No interaction with ITCZ.  There are no signs of tropical cyclone formation.

#4  Invest 91L is gradually becoming better organized as it drifts slowly westward.  At this time Highs to the north is blocking a northward track but that could change int the days to come as a trough will move into the area and could help to turn this low.  If not then inland over Mexico.  West Gulf coast and northern Gulf just monitor for now.  

Intensity model still suggest a tropical storm and others a depression.

Note above map is the morning surface observations highs and lows in different location.  Click here for latest 12z surface map. 
RTW



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