FORECAST MODEL REVIEW

I PUT TOGETHER SOME MODEL GIF ANIMATION SO YOU CAN SEE WHERE SOME SUGGEST DORIAN WILL GO.

CAUTION:  REMEMBER THESE ARE FORECAST AND MODEL TRACKS WILL CHANGE WITH EACH MODEL RUN.  IF YOUR AREA IS IN THE CONE OF ERROR YOU ARE NOT CLEAR.

NOTICE THAT MOST ARE TRACKS EITHER NORTH OF LAKE OKEECHOBEE OR CENTRAL FLORIDA WITH A ONE THE NAVY MODEL THAT SUGGEST SOUTHERN FLORIDA.  AS I MENTIONED YESTERDAY I NOTICED A NORTHWARD TREND WITH MOST OF THE MODELS AS THEY ALIGNED THEMSELVES WITH THE EURO MODEL.

ONCE AGAIN ITS STILL TO EARLY TO SAY FOR SURE THAT THIS IS WHERE DORIAN IS HEADED

 SO WE THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM THE FLORIDA STRAITS NORTH TO JACKSONVILLE SHOULD BE READY IN CASE A WATCH OR WARNING IS ISSUED FOR YOUR AREA.  NO PANIC JUST A PRECAUTION WE TAKE EVERY HURRICANE SEASON.

RTW

CMC CANADIAN MODEL

 ECMWF EURO MODEL (BEST SO FAR)

 GFS AMERICAN MODEL

 NEWER GFS LEGACY MODEL

 NAVGEM NAVY MODEL

NHC PRESENT AND PAST TRACKS