Friday, August 2, 2019

INVEST 96L FORMATION CHANCE

As I mention in previous updates Invest 96L will be a short lived storm if at all.  Upper level conditions will become unfavorable into next week.

National Hurricane Center
000
ABNT20 KNHC 020536
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Fri Aug 2 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

An elongated low pressure system located over the central tropical
Atlantic Ocean about midway between the Cabo Verde Islands and the
Lesser Antilles is producing limited shower and thunderstorm
activity.  Some slow development of this system is possible, and a
tropical depression could form well east of the Lesser Antilles by
early next week while the low moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15
mph.  Upper-level winds are forecast to become less conducive for
development by Tuesday and Wednesday as the system approaches the
Leeward Islands.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

$$
Forecaster Berg

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