TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES 1118 AM EDT

TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES
SEPT 26, 2019...1118 AM EDT
RALPH'S TROPICAL WEATHER- RTW

KAREN REORGANIZED OVER NIGHT AS UPPER LEVEL SHEAR RELAXED AND THE STORM MOVED A BIT FURTHER AWAY FROM THE UPPER LOW TO THE WEST SOUTHWEST OF KAREN.

THIS ORGANIZATION SHOULD BE SHORT LIVED AS KAREN TURNS BACK TO THE WEST.  MOST OF THE MODELS SHOW KAREN DISSIPATING AS FRONTS MOVE OFF THE EAST COAST AND A LARGER SCALE FRONT AND COLD HIGH PRESSURE  BUILDS OVER THE EASTERN SEABOARD AND SOUTHEAST BY SATURDAY OF NEXT WEEK.

THIS COULD BE TO FIRST STRONG COLD FRONT OF THE SEASON FOR THE EAST U.S. AND A PORTION OF FLORIDA.  WINDS WILL INCREASE BY THEN AS A STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT BUILDS OVER THE WEST ATLANTIC AND THE SOUTHEAST.

SAY GOOD BYE TO KAREN NO WORRIES!

AS FOR LORENZO, I AM GLAD LORENZO WILL STAY OUT OVER THE ATLANTIC.  CYCLONE HAS RAPIDLY INTENSIFIED TO A MAJOR 3 HURRICANE.  LORENZO IS ONLY A CONCERN TO SHIPPING.

RALPH'S TROPICAL WEATHER- RTW

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER LINK:  https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/