TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
1228 PM EDT...SEPT 6, 2019
RALPH'S TROPICAL WEATHER- RTW

1.  A strong westward moving tropical wave associated with a 1010 mb low is near 26°/24° west.  this wave is being monitored for development as it track toward the west.  There is a chance for development as this west nears the Lesser Antilles next week.

NHC Formation Chance
*Formation chance through 48 hours LOW 20%
*Formation chance through 5-day HIGH 70%

2.  a small axis westward moving tropical wave near 45°/43° west has some showers a storms associated along the ITCZ (Intertropical Convergence Zone).  There are no signs of orgainzation at this time.

3.  A 1012 mb trough of low pressure several hundred miles east of the northern Leeward Islands.  This system is also being monitored for development even though none of the models suggest development at this time.  This system has a low chance for formation.

NHC Formation Chance:
*Formation chance through 48 hours LOW 10%
*Formation chance through 5-days LOW 10%

4.  A westward moving tropical wave moving tropical wave near 75°/73° west is lack showers and storms at this time.

Tropical Cyclone formation is not expected through Sunday.

RTW