ARTHUR INTERMEDIATE UPDATE 0200 PM EDT

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
PUBLIC ADVISORY

283 
WTNT31 KNHC 171747
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Arthur Intermediate Advisory Number 4A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL012020
200 PM EDT Sun May 17 2020

...ARTHUR CONTINUES NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...31.0N 77.3W
ABOUT 310 MI...500 KM SSW OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Surf City to Duck NC
* Pamlico and Albemarle Sounds

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the
next 24 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 PM EDT (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Arthur was
located near latitude 31.0 North, longitude 77.3 West. Arthur is
moving toward the north-northeast near 9 mph (15 km/h).  A turn
toward the northeast with an increase in forward speed is expected
during the next 24 to 48 hours.  On the forecast track, Arthur will
remain well offshore of the coasts of Georgia and South Carolina
today and tonight, and then move near or just east of the coast of
North Carolina on Monday.  Arthur is forecast to turn away from the
east coast of the United States Monday night and Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher
gusts. Some gradual strengthening is forecast during the next 24 to
36 hours.  Arthur is likely to lose tropical characteristics on
Tuesday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are expected within the Tropical
Storm Warning area on Monday.

RAINFALL: Arthur is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
1 to 3 inches over coastal North Carolina tonight and Monday,
with locally higher amounts.

SURF:  Swells generated by Arthur are affecting portions of
the southeast U.S. coast and are expected to spread northward along
the U.S. mid-Atlantic coast during the next day or two.  These
swells could cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
Please consult products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM EDT.

$$
Forecaster Brown