STORM INVESTIGATION UPDATE

STORM INVESTIGATION UPDATE
MAY 13, 2020

NOTHING SHOWING YET BUT DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS WE SHOULD BEGIN TO SEE A LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING NEAR THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF FLORIDA OR OVER THE SOUTHWEST BAHAMAS.

THIS STORM INVEST NOW HAS A 70% CHANCE FOR DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 5-DAYS PER THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.

DEPENDING ON THE LOCATION FOR DEVELOPMENT, THIS SYSTEM WILL BEGIN TO DRAW MOISTURE NORTHWARD OVER THE BAHAMAS AND FLORIDA AS IT TRACKS SLOWLY NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD.  MOST OF THE MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT OFF THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF FLORIDA, BUT ONCE AGAIN THIS IS ONLY A FORECAST AND ITS SUBJECT TO CHANGE.

IT WILL BEGIN TO GET WINDY/GUSTY THIS AFTERNOON INCREASING DURING THIS EVENING AND THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS EAST AND INTERACTS WITH THIS FUTURE LOW PRESSURE.

THIS SYSTEM IS NOT A THREAT TO LAND AT THIS TIME OTHER THAN RAIN AND GUSTY CONDITIONS.  SMALL CRAFT SHOULD MONITOR THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARINE ADVISORIES FOR GALE WARNINGS OR SMALL CRAFT WARNINGS.

RTW

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL 
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM CCA

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Wed May 13 2020

Corrected to remove double labels

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Special Tropical Weather Outlook issued to discuss the potential 
for subtropical development this weekend northeast of the 
Bahamas.

1. A broad area of low pressure is expected to develop late this 
week or early this weekend near or within a couple of hundred miles 
north of the Bahamas. Environmental conditions appear conducive for 
gradual development of this system, and a subtropical depression or 
storm is likely to form this weekend while it moves northeastward 
over the western Atlantic. The next Special Tropical Weather Outlook 
on this system will be issued by 9 PM EDT Wednesday, or earlier, if 
necessary.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

Forecaster Latto

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=5 

 DAY 1 RAINFALL OUTLOOK

 DAY 2 RAINFALL OUTLOOK 

(YOU CAN SEE DARKER GREENS AND BLUES MOVING OVER SOUTHERN FLORIDA)

 DAY 3 RAINFALL OUTLOOK 

(MORE BLUES OVER SOUTHERN FLORIDA, HEAVIEST ARE DARKER REDS AND ORANGE OVER EAST BAHAMAS)

 00Z EURO MODEL

 00Z CMC CANADIAN MODEL

 06Z GFS AMERICAN MODEL

 06 ICON MODEL

 O6Z NAVGEM NAVY MODEL