CRISTOBAL UPDATE

CRISTOBAL LATEST UPDATE

506 
WTNT33 KNHC 040239
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Cristobal Advisory Number  10
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL032020
1000 PM CDT Wed Jun 03 2020

...CRISTOBAL MOVING VERY LITTLE WHILE IT CONTINUES TO CAUSE HEAVY
RAINFALL AND LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING...


SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.3N 91.8W
ABOUT 20 MI...35 KM S OF CIUDAD DEL CARMEN MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.39 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Campeche to Coatzacoalcos Mexico

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Cristobal
was located near latitude 18.3 North, longitude 91.8 West. Cristobal
has been nearly stationary this evening but a slow southeast or 
east motion should resume overnight.  A turn toward the 
north-northeast and north is expected on Thursday, and a general 
northward motion should continue through Saturday.  On the forecast 
track, the center will move over the land mass of eastern Mexico 
through Thursday.  The center is forecast to move back over the 
southern Gulf of Mexico on Friday, and over the central Gulf of 
Mexico on Saturday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts.
Slow weakening will occur while the cyclone moves over land, and 
Cristobal will likely become a tropical depression by Thursday 
evening.  Some re-strengthening is expected to begin on Friday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km)
from the center, primarily over water.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 995 mb (29.39 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Cristobal can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3, WMO header WTNT43 KNHC, and
on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT3.shtml

RAINFALL: Cristobal is expected to produce the following rain
accumulations through Saturday:

Mexican states of Campeche, Quintana Roo, Tabasco, and Yucatan...6
to 12 inches, isolated storm totals of 25 inches.

Mexican states of Veracruz and Oaxaca...5 to 10 inches.

Southern Guatemala and parts of Chiapas...Additional 15 to 20
inches, isolated storm total amounts of 35 inches dating back to
Saturday, May 30th.

El Salvador...Additional 10 to 15 inches, isolated storm total
amounts of 35 inches dating back to Saturday, May 30th.

Belize and Honduras...3 to 6 inches, isolated 10 inches.

Rainfall in all of these areas may produce life-threatening flash
floods and mudslides.

WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are affecting the coast within
portions of the warning area.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 100 AM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Brown