Monday, June 1, 2020

TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE UPDATE


000
WTNT33 KNHC 020234
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Three Advisory Number   2
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL032020
1000 PM CDT Mon Jun 01 2020

...DEPRESSION EXPECTED TO BRING HEAVY RAINFALL TO PORTIONS OF 
MEXICO AND CENTRAL AMERICA...


SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.6N 91.9W
ABOUT 95 MI...150 KM WSW OF CAMPECHE MEXICO
ABOUT 190 MI...305 KM ENE OF COATZACOALCOS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Campeche to Puerto de Veracruz

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Three
was located near latitude 19.6 North, longitude 91.9 West. The
depression is moving toward the west near 7 mph (11 km/h).
This heading at a slower forward speed is expected tonight. The
depression is forecast to turn west-southwestward or southward at a
even slower forward speed on Tuesday, and meander over the southern 
Bay of Campeche through late Wednesday.  On the forecast track, the
center of the cyclone is forecast to be near the coast of the
southern Bay of Campeche Tuesday night through Thursday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts.
Gradual strengthening is expected during the next couple of days 
and the depression is forecast to become a tropical storm
tonight or Tuesday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Tropical Depression Three can be found in the
Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3, WMO
header WTNT43 KNHC, and on the web at
www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT3.shtml

RAINFALL:  Tropical Depression Three is expected to produce rain 
accumulations of 10 to 15 inches over parts of the Mexican states 
of Tabasco and Veracruz,  portions of Guatemala and the Yucatan 
Peninsula. This system is also expected to produce rain 
accumulations of 5 to 10 inches over parts of El Salvador and 
Honduras. Isolated maximum rainfall amounts of 20 inches are 
possible in the Mexican states of Tabasco, Veracruz, Chiapas and 
portions of Guatemala. This rainfall may produce life-threatening 
flash floods and mudslides.

WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the
coast within the warning area Tuesday night.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 100 AM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Beven









No comments:

Post a Comment

Note: Only a member of this blog may post a comment.