TROPICAL STORM CHRISTOBAL UPDATE 0400 PM EDT

TROPICAL STORM UPDATE 0400 PM EDT

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER

000
WTNT33 KNHC 022039
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Cristobal Advisory Number   5
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL032020
400 PM CDT Tue Jun 02 2020

...CRISTOBAL MOVING SLOWLY OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE...
...HEAVY RAIN AND LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING THREAT CONTINUES...


SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.1N 92.5W
ABOUT 140 MI...230 KM WSW OF CAMPECHE MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...S OR 170 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Campeche to Puerto de Veracruz

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Cristobal was 
located near latitude 19.1 North, longitude 92.5 West.  Cristobal is 
moving toward the south near 3 mph (6 km/h), and a turn toward the 
southeast and east is expected tonight and Wednesday, followed by a 
turn toward the north-northeast and north on Thursday night and 
Friday.  On the forecast track, the center will cross the southern 
Bay of Campeche coast on Wednesday and move inland over eastern 
Mexico Wednesday night and Thursday, and move back over the Bay of 
Campeche Thursday night and Friday. 

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some increase in strength is possible until the center crosses the 
coast.  Gradual weakening is forecast while the center remains 
inland, but restrengthening is expected after Cristobal moves back 
over water Thursday night and Friday. 

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 85 miles (140 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Cristobal can be found in the Tropical Cyclone 
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3, WMO header WTNT43 KNHC, and 
on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT3.shtml

RAINFALL: Cristobal is expected to produce total rain accumulations
of 10 to 20 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 25 inches over
parts of the Mexican states of Tabasco, Veracruz, and Campeche.
Cristobal is also expected to produce total rain accumulations of 10
to 15 inches over northern Chiapas, Quintana Roo and Yucatan.  
Additional rainfall of 10 to 15 inches, with isolated amounts of 25 
inches is expected along the Pacific coasts of Chiapas, Guatemala, 
and El Salvador.  Some of these  Pacific locations received 20 
inches of rain over the weekend, and storm total amounts of 35 
inches are possible.  Rainfall in all of these areas may produce 
life-threatening flash floods and mudslides.

WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are affecting the coast within
portions of the warning area.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 700 PM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Pasch