Wednesday, July 8, 2020

RTW TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK


THERE IS A STRONG STORM MOVING OFF THE COAST OF AFRICA WITH COLD CLOUD TOPS, SEVERE STORMS.  THIS SYSTEM SEEMS TO HAVE A WEAK SPIN POSSIBLY LOW PRESSURE.  COULD BE THE NEXT STRONG WAVE, BUT IT IS NOT YET CALLED THAT.
I WILL MONITOR THIS SYSTEM CLOSELY.

A WAVE INTERACTING WITH THE ITCZ (INTER-TROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE) STILL HAS SHOWERS A STORMS DUE TO THE AREA ITS IN.  THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION.

NEXT WAVE IS WEST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES AND THE SHOWERS AND STORMS THAT ARE WEST OF THE WAVES AXIS THAT AFFECTED THE ISLANDS YESTERDAY ARE NORTH AND SOUTH OF DOMINICAN WITH SOME DEVELOPMENT OF SHOWERS AND STORMS OVER LAND AND PUERTO RICO AS THIS SYSTEM CONTINUES WESTWARD.

THE THIRD WAVE HAS THE NORTHERN AXIS OVER EASTERN CUBA AND THE EXTENDS SOUTH OVER SOUTH AMERICA.  THE STRONGEST STORM ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM ARE OVER THE SOUTHERN CARIBBEAN JUST NORTH OF PANAMA.  THESE STORMS ARE MAINLY ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVES SOUTHERN AXIS INTERACTING WITH A MONSOON TROUGH IN THIS AREA.

NHC IS MONITORING A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM EMERGING OFF THE EASTERN SEA BOARD.  THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL FOR TROPICAL OR SUB-TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT AS IT HUGS THE U.S. COAST NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD.  POSSIBLE COASTAL FLASH FLOODING AND GUSTY WINDS FOR THE OUTER BANKS OF NORTH CAROLINA.  THIS SYSTEM COULD GET A T.D. NUMBER OR NAME AT ANYTIME AND MAY REQUIRE WARNINGS TO BE ISSUED.

RTW


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