Wednesday, August 12, 2020

DEPRESSION ENCOUNTERING DRY AIR INTRUSION

 

775 
WTNT31 KNHC 130235
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Eleven Advisory Number   6
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL112020
1100 PM AST Wed Aug 12 2020

...STRUGGLING DEPRESSION HEADING WESTWARD...
...STILL EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN INTO A TROPICAL STORM SOON...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.5N 47.1W
ABOUT 1135 MI...1825 KM ESE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests in the Leeward Islands should monitor the progress of
this system.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Eleven
was located near latitude 12.5 North, longitude 47.1 West. The
depression is moving toward the west near 15 mph (24 km/h). A turn 
toward the west-northwest is forecast later tonight and this 
motion is forecast to continue during the next few days followed by 
a turn toward the northwest early next week.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Gradual strengthening is forecast during the next couple of days,
and the depression is expected to become a tropical storm on 
Thursday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Roberts






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