Monday, August 10, 2020

STORM INVESTIGATION 95L MORNING UPDATE

I BEEN REVIEWING MODELS THE PAST FEW DAYS AND MOST SUGGEST THAT THIS SYSTEM WILL BE SHORT LIVED DUE TO UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT NORTHWEST OF THE SYSTEM.  THE ONLY MODEL THAT SHOWS 95L TRACKING WAY NORTH OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD AND CURVING NORTH OVER THE ATLANTIC IS THE CANADIAN MODEL.  I WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR IT AS IT TRACKS WESTWARD.

RTW

923 
ABNT20 KNHC 101124
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Mon Aug 10 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave and broad 
area of low pressure located about 600 miles west-southwest of the 
Cabo Verde Islands have changed little in organization since 
yesterday.  Environmental conditions are expected to be somewhat 
conducive for development to occur, and a tropical depression could 
form during the next day or two while the disturbance moves 
generally westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph across the 
tropical Atlantic.  Conditions are forecast to become less 
conducive for development by the end of the week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

$$
Forecaster Berg
 
 
 
 
 

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