Sunday, August 9, 2020

STORM INVESTIGATION 95L...CONTINUE TO MONITOR BUT SAHARA DUST MAY BE A PROBLEM FOR 95L FURTHER WEST

 THIS IS THE WAVE I POSTED ON FACEBOOK YESTERDAY TELLING YOU ANOTHER STRONG WAVE TO MONITOR OFF THE COAST OF AFRICA.  THIS WAVE IS TRACKING IN THE LOWER LATITUDES STAYING AWAY FOR THE SAHARA DRY AIR AND DUST.  AS THIS WAVE TRACKS FURTHER WEST AND STARTS A MORE WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK IT COULD RUN INTO THIS DRY AIR AND DUST WHICH COULD HINDER DEVELOPMENT.  I WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR IT AS THIS WOULD BE THE NEXT WAVE TO MAKE IT NORTH OR OVER THE LEEWARD ISLANDS.

RTW

000
ABNT20 KNHC 091727
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sun Aug 9 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave located a 
few hundred miles south-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands 
continue to show signs of organization.  However, satellite-derived 
wind data from earlier this morning indicated that the circulation 
remains elongated.  Environmental conditions appear conducive 
enough to support additional development of this system, and a 
tropical depression could form during the next few days while it 
moves generally westward at 15 mph across the tropical Atlantic.  
Conditions are likely to become less conducive for development late 
this week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

$$
Forecaster Berg

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