Thursday, August 20, 2020

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14 AND 13... 5 PM EDT UPDATE...

 

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14

678 
WTNT34 KNHC 202057
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Fourteen Advisory Number   2
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL142020
500 PM EDT Thu Aug 20 2020

...AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT FINDS THE DEPRESSION
A LITTLE FARTHER SOUTH...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF HONDURAS AND
NICARAGUA...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.3N 81.0W
ABOUT 155 MI...250 KM ESE OF CABO GRACIAS A DIOS ON NIC/HON BORDER
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of Honduras has upgraded the Tropical Storm Watch
to a Tropical Storm Warning from the Honduras/Nicaragua border
westward to Punta Castilla and for the Bay Islands.

The government of Nicaragua has issued a Tropical Storm Warning for
the coast of Nicaragua from Puerto Cabezas northward.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Honduras/Nicaragua border westward to Punta Castilla Honduras
* Bay Islands of Honduras
* Puerto Cabezas Nicaragua northward to the Honduras/Nicaragua
border

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the
next 12 hours.

Additional watches or warnings, including for the Yucatan Peninsula
of Mexico, may be required later this evening or tonight.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Fourteen 
was located near latitude 14.3 North, longitude 81.0 West.  The 
depression is moving toward the west near 18 mph (30 km/h), and this 
general motion is expected to continue through tonight.  A turn 
toward the west-northwest and northwest with a decrease in forward 
speed is forecast on Friday, with a general northwest motion 
continuing through at least Sunday.  On the forecast track, the 
center of the system will move near or over extreme northern 
Nicaragua and northeastern Honduras, including the Bay Islands, on 
Friday and approach the east coast of the Yucatan Peninsula of 
Mexico on Saturday.  The center is then expected to cross the 
Yucatan Peninsula Saturday night and move into the south-central 
Gulf of Mexico on Sunday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Strengthening is forecast during the next couple of days, and
the depression is expected to become a tropical storm tonight.  The 
system could be near or at hurricane strength when it reaches the 
Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico late Saturday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the
coast within the warning area by tonight, making outside
preparations difficult or dangerous.  These conditions will spread
westward along the coast of Honduras within the warning area on
Friday.

RAINFALL:  The depression is expected to produce the following
rainfall accumulations through Sunday:

Eastern portions of the Mexican states of Quintana Roo and Yucatan:
3 to 6 inches, isolated maximum totals of 10 inches. This rainfall
may result in areas of flash flooding.

Honduras: 2 to 4 inches.

Jamaica and northern Nicaragua: 1 to 2 inches.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 800 PM EDT.
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM EDT.

$$
Forecaster Berg
NHC LINK: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ 

 

 


 

 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13

 611

WTNT33 KNHC 202052
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Thirteen Advisory Number   4
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL132020
500 PM AST Thu Aug 20 2020

...DEPRESSION HAS NOT STRENGTHENED...
...TROPICAL STORM WATCH ISSUED FOR THE VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO 
RICO...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.7N 53.9W
ABOUT 615 MI...990 KM E OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 21 MPH...33 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

A Tropical Storm Watch has been issued for Puerto Rico, Vieques,
Culebra and the U.S. Virgin Islands.

The Government of Antigua has issued a Tropical Storm Watch for the
British Virgin Islands.

The Government of France has issued a Tropical Storm Watch for St.
Martin and St. Barthelemy.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Puerto Rico, Vieques and Culebra
* U.S. Virgin Islands
* British Virgin Islands
* Saba and St. Eustatius
* St. Maarten
* St. Martin and St. Barthelemy
* Antigua, Barbuda, St. Kitts, Nevis, and Anguilla

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

Interests elsewhere in the northern Leeward Islands, the Virgin
Islands, and Puerto Rico should monitor the progress of this
system, as additional tropical storm watches or warnings will
be required for portions of those areas later today.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Thirteen
was located near latitude 16.7 North, longitude 53.9 West. The
depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 21 mph (33 km/h)
and this motion is expected to continue for the next few days. On
the forecast track, the depression is expected to move near or north
of the northern Leeward Islands by late Friday, near or north of 
the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico on Saturday, and near or north 
of Hispaniola Saturday night. 

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Gradual strengthening is forecast, and the depression is forecast 
to become a tropical storm on Friday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  The depression is expected to produce 1 to 3 inches of
rain with isolated maximum totals of 5 inches over the northern
Leeward Islands, and maximum totals of 3 to 6 inches over Puerto
Rico and the Virgin Islands through Sunday.

WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch
area late Friday and Saturday. 


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 800 PM AST.
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Brown

 

 


 

 

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