WEAKER STORM FURTHER WESTWARD TRACK...STRONGER STORM MORE OF A NORTHWEST TO NORTH TRACK

HERE ARE SOME MODEL TRACKS 12Z AND 18Z MODEL.  GFS, EURO, CMC AND ICON MODEL.  IT SHOWS TRACK CLOSER TO THE FLORIDA EAST COAST. 

AS ISAIAS TRAVELED OVER THE BAHAMAS TODAY, THE STORM STRUCTURE WAS DISRUPTED, AND THE THUNDERSTORMS DIMINISHED LEAVING AN OPEN CENTER.  NOW THAT ISAIAS IS OVER THE WARM WATERS OF STRAITS BETWEEN THE FLORIDA EAST COAST AND THE BAHAMAS THERE IS A NEW BURST OF CONVECTION WHICH INDICATES THAT ISAIAS MAY BE RESTRENGTHENING.  

AT THIS TIME THE TRACK TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS DUE TO A WEAKER ISAIAS WHICH IS NOT GOVERN BY THE STEERING CURRENTS THAT WOULD KEEP THIS SYSTEM ON A NORTHWESTWARD TRACK. 

HOW LONG WILL THIS TRACK CONTINUE IS DEPENDENT ON ISAIAS STRENGTHENING AND BECOMING A HURRICANE ONCE AGAIN.  IF AND WHEN THAT OCCURS WE COULD THEN SEE THAT TURN BACK TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AND NORTH. HOWEVER, THE TRACK THIS CLOSE COULD BRING TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ALONG COASTAL AREAS OF FLORIDA.  THIS IS WHY WARNINGS HAVE BEEN ISSUED AND ARE STILL IN PLACE.

SO IMPACTS THIS EVENING FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE STILL POSSIBLE.

STAY TUNED TO LOCAL MEDIA FOR UPDATES

RTW

NOTE THIS IS A 2 PM POSITION