Wednesday, September 2, 2020

...NANA SEEMS TO BE BETTER ORGANIZED WITH A LARGE BALL OF THUNDERSTORMS NEAR THE CENTER...NANA COULD BECOME A HURRICANE AT ANYTIME...RTW


 

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WTNT31 KNHC 021445
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Nana Advisory Number   6
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL162020
1100 AM EDT Wed Sep 02 2020

...NANA CONTINUING WESTWARD AND EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE
TONIGHT...
...HURRICANE WARNING ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF BELIZE...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.1N 84.6W
ABOUT 145 MI...230 KM ENE OF ISLA ROATAN HONDURAS
ABOUT 240 MI...385 KM E OF BELIZE CITY
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of Belize has issued a Hurricane Warning for the
coast of Belize from Belize City southward to the Belize-Guatemala
border.

The government of Guatemala has issued a Tropical Storm Warning for
the coast of Guatemala.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* The coast of Belize from Belize City southward to the
Belize-Guatemala border.

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* The coast of Belize north of Belize city to the Belize-Mexico
border

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Yucatan Mexico from Puerto Costa Maya to Chetumal
* The coast of Belize north of Belize city to the Belize-Mexico
border
* Caribbean Sea coast of Guatemala

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Northern coast of Honduras from Punta Patuca westward to the
Guatemala border
* Isla Roatan and the Bay Islands of Honduras

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the next
24 hours.  Preparations to protect life and property should be
rushed to completion.

A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area, in this case within the next 24 hours.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the
next 12 to 24 hours.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, in this case within the next 24
to 36 hours.

A Tropical Storm Warning may be issued for Isla Roatan and the Bay
Islands of Honduras later today.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM EDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Nana was
located near latitude 17.1 North, longitude 84.6 West. Nana is
moving toward the west near 17 mph (28 km/h), and this general
motion with some decrease in forward speed is expected today.  A
westward or west-southwestward motion is expected tonight and
Thursday.  On the forecast track, Nana will be moving near but north
of the coast of Honduras today, and the center should make landfall
on the coast of Belize tonight or early Thursday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts.
Strengthening is expected, and Nana is forecast to become a
hurricane tonight before it reaches the coast of Belize.  Weakening
is expected after landfall.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 998 mb (29.47 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Hurricane conditions are expected in the Hurricane Warning
area in Belize tonight and early Thursday, with tropical storm 
conditions expected by tonight.  Tropical Storm conditions are 
expected in the Tropical Storm Warning area in Belize, Guatemala, 
and Mexico by tonight, with hurricane conditions possible in the 
Hurricane Watch area tonight.  Tropical storm conditions are 
possible within the watch area in Honduras, including Isla Roatan 
and the Bay Islands, today and tonight.

STORM SURGE:  A dangerous storm surge will raise water levels by as
much as 3 to 5 feet above normal tide levels along the immediate
coast near and to the north of where the center makes landfall.
Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and
destructive waves.

RAINFALL: Nana is expected to produce the following rainfall
accumulations through Friday:

Northern coast of Honduras: 1 to 3 inches.

Belize, Guatemala and the Mexican states of Chiapas and Tabasco: 3
to 6 inches, isolated totals of 8 inches.

The southeast portion of the Mexican state of Quintana Roo:  2 to 4
inches.

The eastern portions of the Mexican states of Veracruz and Oaxaca: 6
to 8 inches, isolated totals of 12 inches.

SURF:  Swells generated by Nana are affecting portions of the
southern coast of Jamaica and the Cayman Islands, and will spread
along the coasts of Honduras and Belize today and tonight. These
swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions.  Please consult products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 200 PM EDT.
Next complete advisory at 500 PM EDT.

$$
Forecaster Beven










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