TROPICAL OUTLOOK STORM INVESTIGATIONS SEPT 5, 2020...1148 PM EDT

681 
ABNT20 KNHC 052328
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Sat Sep 5 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center has issued the last advisory on 
Post-Tropical Cyclone Omar, located about 600 miles northeast of 
Bermuda.

A tropical wave and area of low pressure located over the eastern 
tropical Atlantic continues to produce a large area of 
disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  Gradual development of 
this system is expected while it moves westward to 
west-northwestward, and a tropical depression is likely to form late 
this weekend or early next week when the system reaches the central 
tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

A tropical wave located over the east-central Caribbean Sea is 
producing an area of showers and thunderstorms.  Some slow 
development of this system is possible during the next couple of 
days before upper-level winds become unfavorable for formation.  
This wave is expected to move westward across the central and 
western Caribbean Sea during the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

Another tropical wave located over western Africa is forecast to 
move over the eastern tropical Atlantic on Sunday.  Gradual 
development of this system is then expected, and a tropical 
depression is likely to form by the middle of next week while it 
moves generally westward over the far eastern tropical Atlantic. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

$$
Forecaster Beven